Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Botev Plovdiv vs Proleter Novi SAD — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
FT
1 – 1
Proleter Novi SAD
Proleter Novi SAD
6/30/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Burdur Gazi Atatürk Stadyumu

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Botev Plovdiv62%
×Draw21%
Proleter Novi SAD17%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Botev Plovdiv
2.02
Proleter Novi SAD
0.93

Botev Plovdiv creates 117% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 5 away

creates per match

Botev Plovdiv
2.24
Proleter Novi SAD
1.40

allows per match

Botev Plovdiv
0.47
Proleter Novi SAD
1.80

finishing

Botev Plovdiv+0.00on par
Proleter Novi SAD+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Botev Plovdiv ↓

Proleter Novi SAD →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–110%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–22%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
34%66%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Botev Plovdiv or draw
83%
Botev Plovdiv or Proleter Novi SAD
79%
Draw or Proleter Novi SAD
38%

Winning margin

Botev Plovdiv wins by 2+
38%
Proleter Novi SAD wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Botev Plovdiv 1+ goals
87%
Botev Plovdiv 2+ goals
60%
Botev Plovdiv 3+ goals
33%
Proleter Novi SAD 1+ goals
61%
Proleter Novi SAD 2+ goals
24%
Proleter Novi SAD 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Botev Plovdiv (draw refunded)
79%
Proleter Novi SAD (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Botev Plovdiv at home — creates 2.24, concedes 0.47 · 17 matches

Proleter Novi SAD away — creates 1.40, concedes 1.80 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Botev Plovdiv attack 2.24 + Proleter Novi SAD defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 2.02

Proleter Novi SAD attack 1.40 + Botev Plovdiv defence 0.47 → ÷2 → 0.93

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Botev Plovdiv scores more
62%
level
21%
Proleter Novi SAD scores more
17%

Botev Plovdiv at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Botev Plovdiv will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Botev Plovdiv vs Proleter Novi SAD

Botev Plovdiv and Proleter Novi SAD drew 1-1 in Friendlies Clubs on June 30, 2021.

The match was played at Burdur Gazi Atatürk Stadyumu in Burdur.