Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Botev Plovdiv vs Ballkani — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
FT
2 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Ballkani
Ballkani
Pedro Igor 50'
C. Meotti 7'
6/27/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Botev Plovdiv76%
×Draw17%
Ballkani7%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 580,715 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.3% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Botev Plovdiv
2.12
Ballkani
0.48

Botev Plovdiv creates 342% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 4 away

creates per match

Botev Plovdiv
2.24
Ballkani
0.50

allows per match

Botev Plovdiv
0.47
Ballkani
2.00

finishing

Botev Plovdiv+0.00on par
Ballkani+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Under
  • Under52
  • Over48

Close call

Both teams score

66%No
  • No66
  • Yes34

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Botev Plovdiv ↓

Ballkani →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–14%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–18%
1–22%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–017%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–012%
3–16%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–06%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (17%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
73%27%2.5
48%52%3.5
26%74%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Botev Plovdiv or draw
93%
Botev Plovdiv or Ballkani
83%
Draw or Ballkani
24%

Winning margin

Botev Plovdiv wins by 2+
50%
Ballkani wins by 2+
1%

Team goals

Botev Plovdiv 1+ goals
88%
Botev Plovdiv 2+ goals
62%
Botev Plovdiv 3+ goals
35%
Ballkani 1+ goals
38%
Ballkani 2+ goals
8%
Ballkani 3+ goals
1%

Draw no bet

Botev Plovdiv (draw refunded)
91%
Ballkani (draw refunded)
9%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
26%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Botev Plovdiv at home — creates 2.24, concedes 0.47 · 17 matches

Ballkani away — creates 0.50, concedes 2.00 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Botev Plovdiv attack 2.24 + Ballkani defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.12

Ballkani attack 0.50 + Botev Plovdiv defence 0.47 → ÷2 → 0.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 76%?"

Botev Plovdiv scores more
76%
level
17%
Ballkani scores more
7%

Botev Plovdiv at 76% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 76% does not mean "Botev Plovdiv will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

7'
C. Meotti
50'
Pedro Igor
Botev
Ballkani
Lacezar Baltanov
Manager: Lacezar Baltanov
Orges Shehi
Manager: Orges Shehi

Friendlies Clubs: Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Ballkani

Botev Plovdiv beat Ballkani 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on June 27, 2026.

Goals: C. Meotti (7'), Pedro Igor (50').