Bosnia & Herzegovina 0–0 FYR Macedonia

Bosnia & Herzegovina

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

FYR Macedonia

5/29/2026

Friendlies · Friendly InternationalAsim Ferhatović Hase

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Bosnia & Herzegovina45%

×Draw41%

FYR Macedonia14%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Bosnia & HerzegovinaExpected goals in this matchFYR Macedonia

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.82

0.34

Bosnia & Herzegovina

0.82

FYR Macedonia

0.34

Bosnia & Herzegovina creates 141% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 10 away

0.25

creates per match

0.30

0.38

allows per match

1.40

creates per match

Bosnia & Herzegovina

0.25

FYR Macedonia

0.30

allows per match

Bosnia & Herzegovina

0.38

FYR Macedonia

1.40

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Bosnia & Herzegovina+0.00on par

FYR Macedonia+0.00on par

Total goals

Under89
Over11

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No84
Yes16

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bosnia & Herzegovina ↓

FYR Macedonia →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–031%

0–111%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–026%

1–19%

1–21%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–14%

2–21%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–03%

3–11%

3–20%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–10%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (31%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

69%31%1.5

32%68%2.5

11%89%3.5

3%97%4.5

1%99%

Double chance

Bosnia & Herzegovina or draw

86%

Bosnia & Herzegovina or FYR Macedonia

59%

Draw or FYR Macedonia

55%

Winning margin

Bosnia & Herzegovina wins by 2+

15%

FYR Macedonia wins by 2+

2%

Team goals

Bosnia & Herzegovina 1+ goals

56%

Bosnia & Herzegovina 2+ goals

20%

Bosnia & Herzegovina 3+ goals

5%

FYR Macedonia 1+ goals

29%

FYR Macedonia 2+ goals

5%

FYR Macedonia 3+ goals

1%

Draw no bet

Bosnia & Herzegovina (draw refunded)

76%

FYR Macedonia (draw refunded)

24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

7%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bosnia & Herzegovina at home — creates 0.25, concedes 0.38 · 8 matches

FYR Macedonia away — creates 0.30, concedes 1.40 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bosnia & Herzegovina attack 0.25 + FYR Macedonia defence 1.40 → ÷2 → 0.82

FYR Macedonia attack 0.30 + Bosnia & Herzegovina defence 0.38 → ÷2 → 0.34

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Bosnia & Herzegovina scores more

45%

level

41%

FYR Macedonia scores more

14%

Bosnia & Herzegovina at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Bosnia & Herzegovina will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

46'

O. Hadzikic← M. Zlomislic

46'

D. Hadzikadunic← N. Katic

46'

T. Muharemovic← S. Radeljic

46'

E. Demirovic← S. Bazdar

46'

I. Basic← E. Bajraktarevic

46'

A. Memic← N. Mujakic

46'

A. Hadziahmetovic← A. Gigovic

46'

D. Burnic← A. Dedic

46'

N. Celik← K. Alajbegovic

46'

E. Mahmic← J. Lukic

46'

A. Elezi← J. Atanasov

46'

D. Churlinov← G. Jankulov

46'

I. Fetai← G. Zajkov

46'

A. Omeragic← E. Rastoder

46'

D. Alomerovic← S. Herrera

58'

D. Siskovski← S. Dimitrievski

58'

N. Serafimov← D. Velkovski

58'

M. Ristovski← B. Miovski

58'

D. Angjeleski← B. Nikolov

59'

A. Malic← B. Tahirovic

69'

E. Alioski← E. Elmas

78'

Ezgjan Alioski

86'

J. Manev← V. Musliu

Possession

Shots

Statistics

BosniaFYR

Overview

69%Possession31%

13Total Shots2

2Corners1

12Fouls19

Shots

13Total Shots2

3On Target1

5Off Target0

5Blocked1

Passing

69%Possession31%

Goalkeeping

1Saves3

Discipline

12Fouls19

0Yellow Cards1

0Red Cards0

4Offsides0