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Borussia Mönchengladbach vs GO Ahead Eagles — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FT
3 – 2
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
1/6/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach75%
×Draw16%
GO Ahead Eagles10%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Borussia Mönchengladbach
2.50
GO Ahead Eagles
0.78

Borussia Mönchengladbach creates 221% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 4 away

creates per match

Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.00
GO Ahead Eagles
0.75

allows per match

Borussia Mönchengladbach
0.80
GO Ahead Eagles
2.00

finishing

Borussia Mönchengladbach+0.00on par
GO Ahead Eagles+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Borussia Mönchengladbach ↓

GO Ahead Eagles →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–17%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–18%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–06%
4–15%
4–22%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (12%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
22%78%

Double chance

Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw
90%
Borussia Mönchengladbach or GO Ahead Eagles
84%
Draw or GO Ahead Eagles
25%

Winning margin

Borussia Mönchengladbach wins by 2+
52%
GO Ahead Eagles wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Borussia Mönchengladbach 1+ goals
92%
Borussia Mönchengladbach 2+ goals
71%
Borussia Mönchengladbach 3+ goals
45%
GO Ahead Eagles 1+ goals
54%
GO Ahead Eagles 2+ goals
18%
GO Ahead Eagles 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Borussia Mönchengladbach (draw refunded)
88%
GO Ahead Eagles (draw refunded)
12%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Borussia Mönchengladbach at home — creates 3.00, concedes 0.80 · 5 matches

GO Ahead Eagles away — creates 0.75, concedes 2.00 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Borussia Mönchengladbach attack 3.00 + GO Ahead Eagles defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.50

GO Ahead Eagles attack 0.75 + Borussia Mönchengladbach defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.78

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 75%?"

Borussia Mönchengladbach scores more
75%
level
16%
GO Ahead Eagles scores more
10%

Borussia Mönchengladbach at 75% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 75% does not mean "Borussia Mönchengladbach will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–2 GO Ahead Eagles

Borussia Mönchengladbach beat GO Ahead Eagles 3-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 6, 2024.