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Borussia M'gladbach II vs TuS Koblenz — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Borussia M'gladbach II
Borussia M'gladbach II
FT
3 – 4
HT: 1 – 2
TuS Koblenz
TuS Koblenz
Unknown 67', 53', 7'
Unknown 69', 47', 34', 18'
7/15/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Borussia M'gladbach II47%
×Draw21%
TuS Koblenz32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Borussia M'gladbach II
2.08
TuS Koblenz
1.70

Borussia M'gladbach II creates 22% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 9 away

creates per match

Borussia M'gladbach II
2.17
TuS Koblenz
1.56

allows per match

Borussia M'gladbach II
1.83
TuS Koblenz
2.00

finishing

Borussia M'gladbach II+0.00on par
TuS Koblenz+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Over
  • Over73
  • Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Borussia M'gladbach II ↓

TuS Koblenz →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
73%27%3.5
52%48%4.5
32%68%

Double chance

Borussia M'gladbach II or draw
68%
Borussia M'gladbach II or TuS Koblenz
79%
Draw or TuS Koblenz
53%

Winning margin

Borussia M'gladbach II wins by 2+
27%
TuS Koblenz wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Borussia M'gladbach II 1+ goals
87%
Borussia M'gladbach II 2+ goals
61%
Borussia M'gladbach II 3+ goals
34%
TuS Koblenz 1+ goals
82%
TuS Koblenz 2+ goals
51%
TuS Koblenz 3+ goals
24%

Draw no bet

Borussia M'gladbach II (draw refunded)
59%
TuS Koblenz (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
63%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Borussia M'gladbach II at home — creates 2.17, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

TuS Koblenz away — creates 1.56, concedes 2.00 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Borussia M'gladbach II attack 2.17 + TuS Koblenz defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.08

TuS Koblenz attack 1.56 + Borussia M'gladbach II defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.70

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Borussia M'gladbach II scores more
47%
level
21%
TuS Koblenz scores more
32%

Borussia M'gladbach II at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Borussia M'gladbach II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

7'
18'
34'
47'
53'
67'
69'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Borussia M'gladbach II vs TuS Koblenz

TuS Koblenz beat Borussia M'gladbach II 4-3 in Friendlies Clubs on July 15, 2026.

Goals: ? (7', 18', 34', 47', 53', 67', 69').