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Borac Šajkaš vs Vojvodina 1928 — Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019

Borac Šajkaš
Borac Šajkaš
FT
3 – 3
HT: 1 – 1
Vojvodina 1928
Vojvodina 1928
6/7/2025Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSrpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 30Stadion Borac Šajkaš

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 43+ matches

Borac Šajkaš60%
×Draw22%
Vojvodina 192818%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Borac Šajkaš
1.85
Vojvodina 1928
0.90

Borac Šajkaš creates 106% more chances

Season form · 59 home / 43 away

creates per match

Borac Šajkaš
1.51
Vojvodina 1928
0.72

allows per match

Borac Šajkaš
1.08
Vojvodina 1928
2.19

finishing

Borac Šajkaš+0.00on par
Vojvodina 1928+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Borac Šajkaš ↓

Vojvodina 1928 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–111%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Borac Šajkaš or draw
82%
Borac Šajkaš or Vojvodina 1928
78%
Draw or Vojvodina 1928
40%

Winning margin

Borac Šajkaš wins by 2+
35%
Vojvodina 1928 wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Borac Šajkaš 1+ goals
84%
Borac Šajkaš 2+ goals
55%
Borac Šajkaš 3+ goals
28%
Vojvodina 1928 1+ goals
59%
Vojvodina 1928 2+ goals
23%
Vojvodina 1928 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Borac Šajkaš (draw refunded)
77%
Vojvodina 1928 (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Borac Šajkaš at home — creates 1.51, concedes 1.08 · 59 matches

Vojvodina 1928 away — creates 0.72, concedes 2.19 · 43 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Borac Šajkaš attack 1.51 + Vojvodina 1928 defence 2.19 → ÷2 → 1.85

Vojvodina 1928 attack 0.72 + Borac Šajkaš defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Borac Šajkaš scores more
60%
level
22%
Vojvodina 1928 scores more
18%

Borac Šajkaš at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Borac Šajkaš will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Borac Šajkaš vs Vojvodina 1928

Borac Šajkaš and Vojvodina 1928 drew 3-3 in Srpska Liga - Vojvodina on June 7, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion Borac Šajkaš in Šajkaš.