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Borac Šajkaš vs Sloboda DT — Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019

Borac Šajkaš
Borac Šajkaš
FT
1 – 3
HT: 0 – 1
Sloboda DT
Sloboda DT
5/11/2025Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSrpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 26Stadion Borac Šajkaš

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Borac Šajkaš41%
×Draw27%
Sloboda DT31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Borac Šajkaš
1.34
Sloboda DT
1.13

Borac Šajkaš creates 19% more chances

Season form · 59 home / 30 away

creates per match

Borac Šajkaš
1.51
Sloboda DT
1.17

allows per match

Borac Šajkaš
1.08
Sloboda DT
1.17

finishing

Borac Šajkaš+0.00on par
Sloboda DT+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Borac Šajkaš ↓

Sloboda DT →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–110%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
45%55%3.5
24%76%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Borac Šajkaš or draw
69%
Borac Šajkaš or Sloboda DT
73%
Draw or Sloboda DT
59%

Winning margin

Borac Šajkaš wins by 2+
19%
Sloboda DT wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Borac Šajkaš 1+ goals
74%
Borac Šajkaš 2+ goals
39%
Borac Šajkaš 3+ goals
15%
Sloboda DT 1+ goals
68%
Sloboda DT 2+ goals
31%
Sloboda DT 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Borac Šajkaš (draw refunded)
57%
Sloboda DT (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Borac Šajkaš at home — creates 1.51, concedes 1.08 · 59 matches

Sloboda DT away — creates 1.17, concedes 1.17 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Borac Šajkaš attack 1.51 + Sloboda DT defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.34

Sloboda DT attack 1.17 + Borac Šajkaš defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Borac Šajkaš scores more
41%
level
27%
Sloboda DT scores more
31%

Borac Šajkaš at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Borac Šajkaš will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Srpska Liga - Vojvodina: Borac Šajkaš 1–3 Sloboda DT

Sloboda DT beat Borac Šajkaš 3-1 in Srpska Liga - Vojvodina on May 11, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion Borac Šajkaš in Šajkaš.