Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Borac Šajkaš vs Hajduk 1912 Kula — Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019

Borac Šajkaš
Borac Šajkaš
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Hajduk 1912 Kula
Hajduk 1912 Kula
3/3/2024Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSrpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 16Stadion Borac Šajkaš

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 59+ matches

Borac Šajkaš49%
×Draw25%
Hajduk 1912 Kula26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Borac Šajkaš
1.64
Hajduk 1912 Kula
1.13

Borac Šajkaš creates 45% more chances

Season form · 59 home / 72 away

creates per match

Borac Šajkaš
1.51
Hajduk 1912 Kula
1.18

allows per match

Borac Šajkaš
1.08
Hajduk 1912 Kula
1.76

finishing

Borac Šajkaš+0.00on par
Hajduk 1912 Kula+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Borac Šajkaš ↓

Hajduk 1912 Kula →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Borac Šajkaš or draw
74%
Borac Šajkaš or Hajduk 1912 Kula
75%
Draw or Hajduk 1912 Kula
51%

Winning margin

Borac Šajkaš wins by 2+
26%
Hajduk 1912 Kula wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Borac Šajkaš 1+ goals
81%
Borac Šajkaš 2+ goals
49%
Borac Šajkaš 3+ goals
23%
Hajduk 1912 Kula 1+ goals
68%
Hajduk 1912 Kula 2+ goals
31%
Hajduk 1912 Kula 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Borac Šajkaš (draw refunded)
65%
Hajduk 1912 Kula (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Borac Šajkaš at home — creates 1.51, concedes 1.08 · 59 matches

Hajduk 1912 Kula away — creates 1.18, concedes 1.76 · 72 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Borac Šajkaš attack 1.51 + Hajduk 1912 Kula defence 1.76 → ÷2 → 1.64

Hajduk 1912 Kula attack 1.18 + Borac Šajkaš defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Borac Šajkaš scores more
49%
level
25%
Hajduk 1912 Kula scores more
26%

Borac Šajkaš at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Borac Šajkaš will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Srpska Liga - Vojvodina: Borac Šajkaš 2–1 Hajduk 1912 Kula

Borac Šajkaš beat Hajduk 1912 Kula 2-1 in Srpska Liga - Vojvodina on March 3, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion Borac Šajkaš in Šajkaš.