Scoreo

Borac Šajkaš vs FK BecejSrpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019

Borac Šajkaš
Borac Šajkaš
FT
70
HT: 50
FK Becej
FK Becej
5/25/2025Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSrpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 28Stadion Borac Šajkaš

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 59+ matches

Borac Šajkaš58%
×Draw22%
FK Becej21%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Borac Šajkaš
2.00
FK Becej
1.12

Borac Šajkaš creates 79% more chances

Season form · 59 home / 88 away

creates per match

Borac Šajkaš
1.51
FK Becej
1.16

allows per match

Borac Šajkaš
1.08
FK Becej
2.49

finishing

Borac Šajkaš+0.00on par
FK Becej+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

58%Yes
  • Yes58
  • No42

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Borac Šajkaš

FK Becej
0
1
2
3
4
0
004%
015%
023%
031%
040%
1
109%
1110%
126%
132%
141%
2
209%
2110%
226%
232%
241%
3
306%
317%
324%
331%
340%
4
403%
413%
422%
431%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
82%18%2.5
60%40%3.5
38%62%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Borac Šajkaš or draw
79%
Borac Šajkaš or FK Becej
78%
Draw or FK Becej
42%

Winning margin

Borac Šajkaš wins by 2+
34%
FK Becej wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Borac Šajkaš 1+ goals
86%
Borac Šajkaš 2+ goals
59%
Borac Šajkaš 3+ goals
32%
FK Becej 1+ goals
67%
FK Becej 2+ goals
31%
FK Becej 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Borac Šajkaš (draw refunded)
73%
FK Becej (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Borac Šajkaš at homecreates 1.51, concedes 1.08 · 59 matches

FK Becej awaycreates 1.16, concedes 2.49 · 88 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Borac Šajkaš attack 1.51 + FK Becej defence 2.49 → ÷2 → 2.00

FK Becej attack 1.16 + Borac Šajkaš defence 1.08 → ÷2 → 1.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Borac Šajkaš scores more
58%
level
22%
FK Becej scores more
21%

Borac Šajkaš at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Borac Šajkaš will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Borac Šajkaš 7 – 0 FK Becej

Borac Šajkaš beat FK Becej 7-0 in Srpska Liga - Vojvodina on May 25, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion Borac Šajkaš in Šajkaš.