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Borac Banja Luka vs Pelister — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
FT
2 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Pelister
Pelister
1/25/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Borac Banja Luka60%
×Draw23%
Pelister17%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Borac Banja Luka
1.75
Pelister
0.81

Borac Banja Luka creates 116% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 8 away

creates per match

Borac Banja Luka
2.00
Pelister
0.88

allows per match

Borac Banja Luka
0.75
Pelister
1.50

finishing

Borac Banja Luka+0.00on par
Pelister+0.00on par

Total goals

Under: 53Over: 4753%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No: 54Yes: 4654%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Borac Banja Luka ↓

Pelister →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–012%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–16%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
47%53%3.5
25%75%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Borac Banja Luka or draw
83%
Borac Banja Luka or Pelister
77%
Draw or Pelister
40%

Winning margin

Borac Banja Luka wins by 2+
34%
Pelister wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Borac Banja Luka 1+ goals
83%
Borac Banja Luka 2+ goals
52%
Borac Banja Luka 3+ goals
25%
Pelister 1+ goals
56%
Pelister 2+ goals
19%
Pelister 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Borac Banja Luka (draw refunded)
78%
Pelister (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
35%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Borac Banja Luka at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.75 · 4 matches

Pelister away — creates 0.88, concedes 1.50 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Borac Banja Luka attack 2.00 + Pelister defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.75

Pelister attack 0.88 + Borac Banja Luka defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 0.81

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Borac Banja Luka scores more
60%
level
23%
Pelister scores more
17%

Borac Banja Luka at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Borac Banja Luka will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Borac
Pelister
Vinko Marinovic
Manager: Vinko Marinovic
Milan Stojanovski
Manager: Milan Stojanovski

Friendlies Clubs: Borac Banja Luka 2–0 Pelister

Borac Banja Luka beat Pelister 2-0 in Friendlies Clubs on January 25, 2026.