Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Bonnyrigg White Eagles vs Western Sydney Wanderers U23 — New South Wales NPL 2 2026

Bonnyrigg White Eagles
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
FT
0 – 4
Western Sydney Wanderers U23
Western Sydney Wanderers U23
7/9/2022New South Wales NPL 2New South Wales NPL 2 · Round 18Wanderers Football Park Synthetic Field

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Bonnyrigg White Eagles30%
×Draw22%
Western Sydney Wanderers U2348%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bonnyrigg White Eagles
1.52
Western Sydney Wanderers U23
1.95

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 creates 28% more chances

Season form · 65 home / 19 away

creates per match

Bonnyrigg White Eagles
1.57
Western Sydney Wanderers U23
2.47

allows per match

Bonnyrigg White Eagles
1.42
Western Sydney Wanderers U23
1.47

finishing

Bonnyrigg White Eagles+0.00on par
Western Sydney Wanderers U23+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Over
  • Over67
  • Under33

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bonnyrigg White Eagles ↓

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–16%
0–26%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
67%33%3.5
45%55%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

Bonnyrigg White Eagles or draw
52%
Bonnyrigg White Eagles or Western Sydney Wanderers U23
78%
Draw or Western Sydney Wanderers U23
70%

Winning margin

Bonnyrigg White Eagles wins by 2+
14%
Western Sydney Wanderers U23 wins by 2+
27%

Team goals

Bonnyrigg White Eagles 1+ goals
78%
Bonnyrigg White Eagles 2+ goals
45%
Bonnyrigg White Eagles 3+ goals
20%
Western Sydney Wanderers U23 1+ goals
86%
Western Sydney Wanderers U23 2+ goals
58%
Western Sydney Wanderers U23 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

Bonnyrigg White Eagles (draw refunded)
39%
Western Sydney Wanderers U23 (draw refunded)
61%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
58%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bonnyrigg White Eagles at home — creates 1.57, concedes 1.42 · 65 matches

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 away — creates 2.47, concedes 1.47 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bonnyrigg White Eagles attack 1.57 + Western Sydney Wanderers U23 defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.52

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 attack 2.47 + Bonnyrigg White Eagles defence 1.42 → ÷2 → 1.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Bonnyrigg White Eagles scores more
30%
level
22%
Western Sydney Wanderers U23 scores more
48%

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Western Sydney Wanderers U23 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Bonnyrigg White Eagles vs Western Sydney Wanderers U23

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 beat Bonnyrigg White Eagles 4-0 in New South Wales NPL 2 on July 9, 2022.

The match was played at Wanderers Football Park Synthetic Field in Sydney.