Scoreo

Bóng đá Huế vs Can ThoV.League 2 2020

Bóng đá Huế
Bóng đá Huế
FT
11
HT: 01
Can Tho
Can Tho
9/4/2022V.League 2V.League 2 · Round 14Sân vận động Tự Do

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 22+ matches

Bóng đá Huế48%
×Draw26%
Can Tho26%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bóng đá Huế
1.50
Can Tho
1.02

Bóng đá Huế creates 47% more chances

Season form · 51 home / 22 away

creates per match

Bóng đá Huế
1.06
Can Tho
1.14

allows per match

Bóng đá Huế
0.90
Can Tho
1.95

finishing

Bóng đá Huế+0.00on par
Can Tho+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bóng đá Huế

Can Tho
0
1
2
3
4
0
008%
018%
024%
031%
040%
1
1012%
1112%
126%
132%
141%
2
209%
219%
225%
232%
240%
3
305%
315%
322%
331%
340%
4
402%
412%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Bóng đá Huế or draw
74%
Bóng đá Huế or Can Tho
74%
Draw or Can Tho
52%

Winning margin

Bóng đá Huế wins by 2+
24%
Can Tho wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Bóng đá Huế 1+ goals
78%
Bóng đá Huế 2+ goals
44%
Bóng đá Huế 3+ goals
19%
Can Tho 1+ goals
64%
Can Tho 2+ goals
27%
Can Tho 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Bóng đá Huế (draw refunded)
65%
Can Tho (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bóng đá Huế at homecreates 1.06, concedes 0.90 · 51 matches

Can Tho awaycreates 1.14, concedes 1.95 · 22 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bóng đá Huế attack 1.06 + Can Tho defence 1.95 → ÷2 → 1.50

Can Tho attack 1.14 + Bóng đá Huế defence 0.90 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Bóng đá Huế scores more
48%
level
26%
Can Tho scores more
26%

Bóng đá Huế at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Bóng đá Huế will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

V.League 2: Bóng đá Huế 1–1 Can Tho

Bóng đá Huế and Can Tho drew 1-1 in V.League 2 on September 4, 2022.

The match was played at Sân vận động Tự Do in Hue.