Bollullos 2–0 Recreativo Huelva: Result & Stats

Bollullos

2 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Recreativo Huelva

3/22/2026

Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 · Group 10 - 27Estadio Eloy Ávila Cano Bollullos

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 33+ matches

Bollullos39%

×Draw28%

Recreativo Huelva33%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

BollullosExpected goals in this matchRecreativo Huelva

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.23

1.12

Bollullos

1.23

Recreativo Huelva

1.12

Bollullos creates 10% more chances

Season form · 67 home / 33 away

1.31

creates per match

1.24

1.00

allows per match

1.15

creates per match

Bollullos

1.31

Recreativo Huelva

1.24

allows per match

Bollullos

1.00

Recreativo Huelva

1.15

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Bollullos+0.00on par

Recreativo Huelva+0.00on par

Total goals

Under58
Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No52
Yes48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bollullos ↓

Recreativo Huelva →

0–010%

0–111%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1–012%

1–113%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2–07%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–40%

3–03%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

90%10%1.5

68%32%2.5

42%58%3.5

21%79%4.5

9%91%

Double chance

Bollullos or draw

67%

Bollullos or Recreativo Huelva

72%

Draw or Recreativo Huelva

61%

Winning margin

Bollullos wins by 2+

17%

Recreativo Huelva wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Bollullos 1+ goals

71%

Bollullos 2+ goals

35%

Bollullos 3+ goals

13%

Recreativo Huelva 1+ goals

67%

Recreativo Huelva 2+ goals

31%

Recreativo Huelva 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Bollullos (draw refunded)

54%

Recreativo Huelva (draw refunded)

46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

35%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Bollullos at home — creates 1.31, concedes 1.00 · 67 matches

Recreativo Huelva away — creates 1.24, concedes 1.15 · 33 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Bollullos attack 1.31 + Recreativo Huelva defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.23

Recreativo Huelva attack 1.24 + Bollullos defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 39%?"

Bollullos scores more

39%

level

28%

Recreativo Huelva scores more

33%

Bollullos at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Bollullos will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Bollullos vs Recreativo Huelva

Bollullos beat Recreativo Huelva 2-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 on March 22, 2026.

The match was played at Estadio Eloy Ávila Cano Bollullos in Bollullos Par del Condado.

Bollullos vs Recreativo Huelva — Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: Bollullos vs Recreativo Huelva