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Bohemians WFC W vs Waterford W — All-Island Cup - Women 2026

Bohemians WFC W
Bohemians WFC W
FT
5 – 0
HT: 4 – 0
Waterford W
Waterford W
A. Fennell 53'
S. Power 45'
L. Murphy 39'
A. Brennan 36'
S. Kane 33'
5/30/2026All-Island Cup - WomenAll-Island Cup - Women · Group Stage - 3

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Bohemians WFC W67%
×Draw20%
Waterford W13%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bohemians WFC W
2.00
Waterford W
0.75

Bohemians WFC W creates 167% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 3 away

creates per match

Bohemians WFC W
2.33
Waterford W
0.33

allows per match

Bohemians WFC W
1.17
Waterford W
1.67

finishing

Bohemians WFC W+0.00on par
Waterford W+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bohemians WFC W ↓

Waterford W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–15%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–110%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–16%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
29%71%4.5
14%86%

Double chance

Bohemians WFC W or draw
87%
Bohemians WFC W or Waterford W
80%
Draw or Waterford W
33%

Winning margin

Bohemians WFC W wins by 2+
41%
Waterford W wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Bohemians WFC W 1+ goals
86%
Bohemians WFC W 2+ goals
59%
Bohemians WFC W 3+ goals
32%
Waterford W 1+ goals
53%
Waterford W 2+ goals
17%
Waterford W 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Bohemians WFC W (draw refunded)
84%
Waterford W (draw refunded)
16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
36%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bohemians WFC W at home — creates 2.33, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

Waterford W away — creates 0.33, concedes 1.67 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bohemians WFC W attack 2.33 + Waterford W defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 2.00

Waterford W attack 0.33 + Bohemians WFC W defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 0.75

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 67%?"

Bohemians WFC W scores more
67%
level
20%
Waterford W scores more
13%

Bohemians WFC W at 67% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 67% does not mean "Bohemians WFC W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

33'
S. Kane
36'
A. Brennan
39'
L. Murphy
45'
S. Power
53'
A. Fennell

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

All-Island Cup - Women: Bohemians WFC W 5–0 Waterford W

Bohemians WFC W beat Waterford W 5-0 in All-Island Cup - Women on May 30, 2026.

Goals: S. Kane (33'), A. Brennan (36'), L. Murphy (39'), S. Power (45'), A. Fennell (53').