Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Bohemians WFC W vs Shelbourne W — All-Island Cup - Women 2026

Bohemians WFC W
Bohemians WFC Wadvanced
Pens
2 – 2
HT: 1 – 1
Shelbourne W
Shelbourne W
L. Murphy 120+7' (pen)
E. Gaughran 120+6' (pen)
S. Kane 120+5' (pen)
F. Donnelly 120+4' (pen)
K. McCarn 120+3' (pen)
R. McGovern 120+1' (pen), 90+8'
A. McEvoy 37'
K. Keenan 120+6' (pen)
J. Quinn 120+5' (pen)
N. Hannon 120+4' (pen)
L. Doyle 120+3' (pen)
A. Clancy 120+1' (pen)
P. Slattery 58'
M. Anthony 9' (pen)
7/26/2025All-Island Cup - WomenAll-Island Cup - Women · Semi-finals

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Bohemians WFC W34%
×Draw21%
Shelbourne W45%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bohemians WFC W
1.73
Shelbourne W
2.02

Shelbourne W creates 17% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 8 away

creates per match

Bohemians WFC W
2.33
Shelbourne W
2.88

allows per match

Bohemians WFC W
1.17
Shelbourne W
1.13

finishing

Bohemians WFC W+0.00on par
Shelbourne W+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bohemians WFC W ↓

Shelbourne W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–15%
0–25%
0–33%
0–42%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–28%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
32%68%

Double chance

Bohemians WFC W or draw
55%
Bohemians WFC W or Shelbourne W
79%
Draw or Shelbourne W
66%

Winning margin

Bohemians WFC W wins by 2+
17%
Shelbourne W wins by 2+
25%

Team goals

Bohemians WFC W 1+ goals
82%
Bohemians WFC W 2+ goals
52%
Bohemians WFC W 3+ goals
25%
Shelbourne W 1+ goals
87%
Shelbourne W 2+ goals
60%
Shelbourne W 3+ goals
33%

Draw no bet

Bohemians WFC W (draw refunded)
43%
Shelbourne W (draw refunded)
57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
63%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bohemians WFC W at home — creates 2.33, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

Shelbourne W away — creates 2.88, concedes 1.13 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bohemians WFC W attack 2.33 + Shelbourne W defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.73

Shelbourne W attack 2.88 + Bohemians WFC W defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 2.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Bohemians WFC W scores more
34%
level
21%
Shelbourne W scores more
45%

Shelbourne W at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Shelbourne W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

9'
M. AnthonyPenalty
37'
A. McEvoy
58'
P. Slattery
75'
A. Kavanagh
76'
P. Slattery
90+8'
R. McGovern
120+1'
A. ClancyPenalty
120+1'
R. McGovernPenalty
120+2'
J. GarganMissed penalty
120+2'
H. HealyMissed penalty
120+3'
L. DoylePenalty
120+3'
K. McCarnPenalty
120+4'
N. HannonPenalty
120+4'
F. DonnellyPenalty
120+5'
J. QuinnPenalty
120+5'
S. KanePenalty
120+6'
K. KeenanPenalty
120+6'
E. GaughranPenalty
120+7'
R. GrahamMissed penalty
120+7'
L. MurphyPenalty

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

All-Island Cup - Women: Bohemians WFC W 2–2 Shelbourne W

Bohemians WFC W and Shelbourne W drew 2-2 in All-Island Cup - Women on July 26, 2025.

Goals: M. Anthony (9' pen), A. McEvoy (37'), P. Slattery (58'), R. McGovern (90+8', 120+1' pen), A. Clancy (120+1' pen), L. Doyle (120+3' pen), K. McCarn (120+3' pen), N. Hannon (120+4' pen), F. Donnelly (120+4' pen), J. Quinn (120+5' pen), S. Kane (120+5' pen), K. Keenan (120+6' pen), E. Gaughran (120+6' pen), L. Murphy (120+7' pen).