Bohemians WFC W 2–1 Linfield W: Result & Stats

Bohemians WFC W

FT

2 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Linfield W

6/7/2025

All-Island Cup - Women · Group Stage - 3Dalymount Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Bohemians WFC W61%

×Draw19%

Linfield W20%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Bohemians WFC WExpected goals in this matchLinfield W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.33

1.25

Bohemians WFC W

2.33

Linfield W

1.25

Bohemians WFC W creates 86% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

2.33

creates per match

1.33

1.17

allows per match

2.33

creates per match

Bohemians WFC W

2.33

Linfield W

1.33

allows per match

Bohemians WFC W

1.17

Linfield W

2.33

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Bohemians WFC W+0.00on par

Linfield W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over69
Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes64
No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bohemians WFC W ↓

Linfield W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–07%

1–18%

1–25%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–17%

3–25%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

87%13%2.5

69%31%3.5

48%52%4.5

28%72%

Double chance

Bohemians WFC W or draw

80%

Bohemians WFC W or Linfield W

81%

Draw or Linfield W

39%

Winning margin

Bohemians WFC W wins by 2+

39%

Linfield W wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Bohemians WFC W 1+ goals

90%

Bohemians WFC W 2+ goals

67%

Bohemians WFC W 3+ goals

41%

Linfield W 1+ goals

71%

Linfield W 2+ goals

36%

Linfield W 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Bohemians WFC W (draw refunded)

76%

Linfield W (draw refunded)

24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

56%

Both score & under 3

8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bohemians WFC W at home — creates 2.33, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

Linfield W away — creates 1.33, concedes 2.33 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bohemians WFC W attack 2.33 + Linfield W defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 2.33

Linfield W attack 1.33 + Bohemians WFC W defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Bohemians WFC W scores more

61%

level

19%

Linfield W scores more

20%

Bohemians WFC W at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Bohemians WFC W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff