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Bohemians WFC W vs Cliftonville W — All-Island Cup - Women 2026

Bohemians WFC W
Bohemians WFC W
FT
1 – 2
HT: 1 – 0
Cliftonville W
Cliftonville W
K. Bates-Crosbie 37'
D. Maxwell 67'
A. Magee 52'
6/24/2023All-Island Cup - WomenAll-Island Cup - Women · Group Stage - 2Dalymount Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Bohemians WFC W62%
×Draw18%
Cliftonville W19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bohemians WFC W
2.50
Cliftonville W
1.33

Bohemians WFC W creates 88% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

creates per match

Bohemians WFC W
2.33
Cliftonville W
1.50

allows per match

Bohemians WFC W
1.17
Cliftonville W
2.67

finishing

Bohemians WFC W+0.00on par
Cliftonville W+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Over
  • Over73
  • Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bohemians WFC W ↓

Cliftonville W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–17%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
73%27%3.5
53%47%4.5
33%67%

Double chance

Bohemians WFC W or draw
81%
Bohemians WFC W or Cliftonville W
82%
Draw or Cliftonville W
38%

Winning margin

Bohemians WFC W wins by 2+
41%
Cliftonville W wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Bohemians WFC W 1+ goals
92%
Bohemians WFC W 2+ goals
71%
Bohemians WFC W 3+ goals
45%
Cliftonville W 1+ goals
74%
Cliftonville W 2+ goals
38%
Cliftonville W 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Bohemians WFC W (draw refunded)
77%
Cliftonville W (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bohemians WFC W at home — creates 2.33, concedes 1.17 · 6 matches

Cliftonville W away — creates 1.50, concedes 2.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bohemians WFC W attack 2.33 + Cliftonville W defence 2.67 → ÷2 → 2.50

Cliftonville W attack 1.50 + Bohemians WFC W defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Bohemians WFC W scores more
62%
level
18%
Cliftonville W scores more
19%

Bohemians WFC W at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Bohemians WFC W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

37'
K. Bates-Crosbie
52'
A. Magee
67'
D. Maxwell

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Bohemians WFC W vs Cliftonville W

Cliftonville W beat Bohemians WFC W 2-1 in All-Island Cup - Women on June 24, 2023.

Goals: K. Bates-Crosbie (37'), A. Magee (52'), D. Maxwell (67').

The match was played at Dalymount Park in Dublin.