Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Bodo/Glimt vs Ham-Kam — Eliteserien 2026

Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt
Preview
17:00
Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam
7/22/2026EliteserienEliteserien · Round 2Aspmyra Stadion
Big match
66%
Bodo/Glimt
model favours
66%19%15%

Bodo/Glimt are unbeaten in 7 straight

brightest fact of this match

2–0
likely score
61%
over 2.5 goals
55%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 16+ matches

Bodo/Glimt66%
×Draw19%
Ham-Kam15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bodo/Glimt
2.24
Ham-Kam
0.95

Bodo/Glimt creates 136% more chances

Season form · 23 home / 16 away

creates per match

Bodo/Glimt
2.66
Ham-Kam
1.11

allows per match

Bodo/Glimt
0.78
Ham-Kam
1.81

finishing

Bodo/Glimt+0.69scores more
Ham-Kam-0.36scores less

Total goals

61%Over
  • Over61
  • Under39

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bodo/Glimt ↓

Ham-Kam →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–19%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–17%
3–24%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
61%39%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Bodo/Glimt or draw
85%
Bodo/Glimt or Ham-Kam
81%
Draw or Ham-Kam
34%

Winning margin

Bodo/Glimt wins by 2+
43%
Ham-Kam wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Bodo/Glimt 1+ goals
89%
Bodo/Glimt 2+ goals
65%
Bodo/Glimt 3+ goals
38%
Ham-Kam 1+ goals
61%
Ham-Kam 2+ goals
25%
Ham-Kam 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Bodo/Glimt (draw refunded)
82%
Ham-Kam (draw refunded)
18%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bodo/Glimt at home — creates 2.66, concedes 0.78 · 23 matches

Ham-Kam away — creates 1.11, concedes 1.81 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bodo/Glimt attack 2.66 + Ham-Kam defence 1.81 → ÷2 → 2.24

Ham-Kam attack 1.11 + Bodo/Glimt defence 0.78 → ÷2 → 0.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Bodo/Glimt scores more
66%
level
19%
Ham-Kam scores more
15%

Bodo/Glimt at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Bodo/Glimt will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Bodo/Glimt have won 3 in a row
  • Both teams score in 86% of Ham-Kam’s matches
  • 78% of Bodo/Glimt’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Bodo/Glimt score first in 72% of matches
  • Ham-Kam have scored in 8 games running
  • Ham-Kam win just 19% against the top half (vs 44% against the bottom)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Bodo/Glimt
Possession-dominant
Ham-Kam
Direct / counter-attacking
64%Possession40%
88%Pass accuracy76%
16.6Shots11.6
2.30xGBiggest gap1.22
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
Bodo/GlimtHam-Kam

Head-to-head

8 previous meetings

5
Bodo/Glimt
2
Draws
1
Ham-Kam
Avg goals: 3.5BTTS: 38%
3–13–03–00–14–4

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Bodo/Glimt
WWWWD
Ham-Kam
LDWDD

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Bodo/Glimt face Ham-Kam (Eliteserien)

Eliteserien returns with Bodo/Glimt hosting Ham-Kam. Match starts July 22, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Bodo/Glimt host Ham-Kam at Aspmyra Stadion.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.