Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Bnei Yehuda vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion — Liga Leumit 2019

Bnei Yehuda
Bnei Yehuda
FT
2 – 4
HT: 1 – 3
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
4/15/2025Liga LeumitLiga Leumit · Promotion Group - 2Bloomfield Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 91+ matches

Bnei Yehuda41%
×Draw26%
Hapoel Rishon LeZion33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bnei Yehuda
1.40
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.22

Bnei Yehuda creates 15% more chances

Season form · 91 home / 129 away

creates per match

Bnei Yehuda
1.47
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.18

allows per match

Bnei Yehuda
1.26
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.33

finishing

Bnei Yehuda+0.00on par
Hapoel Rishon LeZion+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bnei Yehuda ↓

Hapoel Rishon LeZion →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Bnei Yehuda or draw
67%
Bnei Yehuda or Hapoel Rishon LeZion
74%
Draw or Hapoel Rishon LeZion
59%

Winning margin

Bnei Yehuda wins by 2+
19%
Hapoel Rishon LeZion wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Bnei Yehuda 1+ goals
75%
Bnei Yehuda 2+ goals
41%
Bnei Yehuda 3+ goals
17%
Hapoel Rishon LeZion 1+ goals
70%
Hapoel Rishon LeZion 2+ goals
34%
Hapoel Rishon LeZion 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Bnei Yehuda (draw refunded)
56%
Hapoel Rishon LeZion (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bnei Yehuda at home — creates 1.47, concedes 1.26 · 91 matches

Hapoel Rishon LeZion away — creates 1.18, concedes 1.33 · 129 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bnei Yehuda attack 1.47 + Hapoel Rishon LeZion defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.40

Hapoel Rishon LeZion attack 1.18 + Bnei Yehuda defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.22

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Bnei Yehuda scores more
41%
level
26%
Hapoel Rishon LeZion scores more
33%

Bnei Yehuda at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Bnei Yehuda will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Bnei Yehuda vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion

Hapoel Rishon LeZion beat Bnei Yehuda 4-2 in Liga Leumit on April 15, 2025.

The match was played at Bloomfield Stadium in Tel-Aviv.