Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Bnei Yehuda vs Hapoel Acre — Liga Leumit 2019

Bnei Yehuda
Bnei Yehuda
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Hapoel Acre
Hapoel Acre
2/9/2026Liga LeumitLiga Leumit · Round 22Shkhunat Hatikva Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 91+ matches

Bnei Yehuda41%
×Draw27%
Hapoel Acre32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bnei Yehuda
1.35
Hapoel Acre
1.17

Bnei Yehuda creates 15% more chances

Season form · 91 home / 130 away

creates per match

Bnei Yehuda
1.47
Hapoel Acre
1.07

allows per match

Bnei Yehuda
1.26
Hapoel Acre
1.23

finishing

Bnei Yehuda+0.00on par
Hapoel Acre+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bnei Yehuda ↓

Hapoel Acre →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–19%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Bnei Yehuda or draw
68%
Bnei Yehuda or Hapoel Acre
73%
Draw or Hapoel Acre
59%

Winning margin

Bnei Yehuda wins by 2+
19%
Hapoel Acre wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Bnei Yehuda 1+ goals
74%
Bnei Yehuda 2+ goals
39%
Bnei Yehuda 3+ goals
15%
Hapoel Acre 1+ goals
69%
Hapoel Acre 2+ goals
33%
Hapoel Acre 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Bnei Yehuda (draw refunded)
56%
Hapoel Acre (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bnei Yehuda at home — creates 1.47, concedes 1.26 · 91 matches

Hapoel Acre away — creates 1.07, concedes 1.23 · 130 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bnei Yehuda attack 1.47 + Hapoel Acre defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.35

Hapoel Acre attack 1.07 + Bnei Yehuda defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Bnei Yehuda scores more
41%
level
27%
Hapoel Acre scores more
32%

Bnei Yehuda at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Bnei Yehuda will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Bnei Yehuda vs Hapoel Acre

Bnei Yehuda beat Hapoel Acre 2-1 in Liga Leumit on February 9, 2026.

The match was played at Shkhunat Hatikva Stadium in Tel Aviv.