Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Blue Eagles vs Songwe Border United — Super League 2026

Blue Eagles
Blue Eagles
FT
4 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Songwe Border United
Songwe Border United
4/12/2025Super LeagueSuper League · Round 2Nankhaka Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Blue Eagles77%
×Draw16%
Songwe Border United7%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Blue Eagles
2.19
Songwe Border United
0.47

Blue Eagles creates 366% more chances

Season form · 67 home / 15 away

creates per match

Blue Eagles
1.45
Songwe Border United
0.13

allows per match

Blue Eagles
0.82
Songwe Border United
2.93

finishing

Blue Eagles+0.00on par
Songwe Border United+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

67%No
  • No67
  • Yes33

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blue Eagles ↓

Songwe Border United →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–17%
1–22%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–017%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–012%
3–16%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–07%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (17%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Blue Eagles or draw
93%
Blue Eagles or Songwe Border United
84%
Draw or Songwe Border United
23%

Winning margin

Blue Eagles wins by 2+
52%
Songwe Border United wins by 2+
1%

Team goals

Blue Eagles 1+ goals
89%
Blue Eagles 2+ goals
64%
Blue Eagles 3+ goals
37%
Songwe Border United 1+ goals
37%
Songwe Border United 2+ goals
8%
Songwe Border United 3+ goals
1%

Draw no bet

Blue Eagles (draw refunded)
92%
Songwe Border United (draw refunded)
8%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
26%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blue Eagles at home — creates 1.45, concedes 0.82 · 67 matches

Songwe Border United away — creates 0.13, concedes 2.93 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blue Eagles attack 1.45 + Songwe Border United defence 2.93 → ÷2 → 2.19

Songwe Border United attack 0.13 + Blue Eagles defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 0.47

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 77%?"

Blue Eagles scores more
77%
level
16%
Songwe Border United scores more
7%

Blue Eagles at 77% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 77% does not mean "Blue Eagles will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super League: Blue Eagles 4–0 Songwe Border United

Blue Eagles beat Songwe Border United 4-0 in Super League on April 12, 2025.

The match was played at Nankhaka Stadium in Lilongwe.