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Blue Eagles vs Ekhaya — Super League 2026

Blue Eagles
Blue Eagles
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Ekhaya
Ekhaya
5/31/2025Super LeagueSuper League · Round 7Nankhaka Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 20+ matches

Blue Eagles47%
×Draw28%
Ekhaya25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Blue Eagles
1.32
Ekhaya
0.89

Blue Eagles creates 48% more chances

Season form · 67 home / 20 away

creates per match

Blue Eagles
1.45
Ekhaya
0.95

allows per match

Blue Eagles
0.82
Ekhaya
1.20

finishing

Blue Eagles+0.00on par
Ekhaya+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Under
  • Under62
  • Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blue Eagles ↓

Ekhaya →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
38%62%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Blue Eagles or draw
75%
Blue Eagles or Ekhaya
72%
Draw or Ekhaya
53%

Winning margin

Blue Eagles wins by 2+
22%
Ekhaya wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Blue Eagles 1+ goals
73%
Blue Eagles 2+ goals
38%
Blue Eagles 3+ goals
15%
Ekhaya 1+ goals
59%
Ekhaya 2+ goals
22%
Ekhaya 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Blue Eagles (draw refunded)
65%
Ekhaya (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blue Eagles at home — creates 1.45, concedes 0.82 · 67 matches

Ekhaya away — creates 0.95, concedes 1.20 · 20 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blue Eagles attack 1.45 + Ekhaya defence 1.20 → ÷2 → 1.32

Ekhaya attack 0.95 + Blue Eagles defence 0.82 → ÷2 → 0.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Blue Eagles scores more
47%
level
28%
Ekhaya scores more
25%

Blue Eagles at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Blue Eagles will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super League: Blue Eagles 0–0 Ekhaya

Blue Eagles and Ekhaya drew 0-0 in Super League on May 31, 2025.

The match was played at Nankhaka Stadium in Lilongwe.