Scoreo

Blooming vs San Antonio Bulo BuloPrimera División 2026

Blooming
Blooming
FT
03
HT: 01
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
W. Saucedo 90'
A. Vasquez 50' (pen), 20' (pen)
9/28/2025Primera DivisiónPrimera División · Apertura - 23Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 41+ matches

Blooming52%
×Draw23%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo25%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Blooming
1.85
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1.23

Blooming creates 50% more chances

Season form · 130 home / 41 away

creates per match

Blooming
1.82
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1.34

allows per match

Blooming
1.12
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1.88

finishing

Blooming+0.00on par
San Antonio Bulo Bulo+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blooming

San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0
1
2
3
4
0
005%
016%
023%
031%
040%
1
109%
1110%
126%
133%
141%
2
208%
2110%
226%
232%
241%
3
305%
316%
324%
332%
340%
4
402%
413%
422%
431%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Blooming or draw
75%
Blooming or San Antonio Bulo Bulo
77%
Draw or San Antonio Bulo Bulo
48%

Winning margin

Blooming wins by 2+
29%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Blooming 1+ goals
84%
Blooming 2+ goals
55%
Blooming 3+ goals
28%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1+ goals
71%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2+ goals
35%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Blooming (draw refunded)
67%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo (draw refunded)
33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blooming at homecreates 1.82, concedes 1.12 · 130 matches

San Antonio Bulo Bulo awaycreates 1.34, concedes 1.88 · 41 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blooming attack 1.82 + San Antonio Bulo Bulo defence 1.88 → ÷2 → 1.85

San Antonio Bulo Bulo attack 1.34 + Blooming defence 1.12 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Blooming scores more
52%
level
23%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo scores more
25%

Blooming at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Blooming will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Blooming
San
46'J. GonzalesE. Justiniano
46'C. RomeroM. Cabral
66'D. DuranF. Posse
85'C. PadillaM. Alaniz
90'G. CentellaS. Severiche
74'R. LopezA. Vasquez
85'J. HerreraE. Sanchez
88'M. AlonsoA. Terrazas
89'K. MeridaMercado Diego

Primera División: Blooming 0–3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo

San Antonio Bulo Bulo beat Blooming 3-0 in Primera División on September 28, 2025.

Goals: A. Vasquez (20' pen, 50' pen), W. Saucedo (90').

The match was played at Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas in Santa Cruz.