Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Blessing vs Panda B5 — Ligue 1 2019

Blessing
Blessing
FT
2 – 0
Panda B5
Panda B5
3/27/2025Ligue 1Ligue 1 · Round 15Stade Dominique Diur

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 52+ matches

Blessing61%
×Draw25%
Panda B514%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Blessing
1.58
Panda B5
0.62

Blessing creates 155% more chances

Season form · 67 home / 52 away

creates per match

Blessing
1.19
Panda B5
0.40

allows per match

Blessing
0.84
Panda B5
1.98

finishing

Blessing+0.00on par
Panda B5+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Under
  • Under62
  • Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blessing ↓

Panda B5 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–17%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–018%
1–111%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–014%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–15%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
64%36%2.5
38%62%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Blessing or draw
86%
Blessing or Panda B5
75%
Draw or Panda B5
39%

Winning margin

Blessing wins by 2+
33%
Panda B5 wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Blessing 1+ goals
79%
Blessing 2+ goals
47%
Blessing 3+ goals
21%
Panda B5 1+ goals
46%
Panda B5 2+ goals
13%
Panda B5 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Blessing (draw refunded)
81%
Panda B5 (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
26%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blessing at home — creates 1.19, concedes 0.84 · 67 matches

Panda B5 away — creates 0.40, concedes 1.98 · 52 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blessing attack 1.19 + Panda B5 defence 1.98 → ÷2 → 1.58

Panda B5 attack 0.40 + Blessing defence 0.84 → ÷2 → 0.62

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Blessing scores more
61%
level
25%
Panda B5 scores more
14%

Blessing at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Blessing will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Ligue 1: Blessing 2–0 Panda B5

Blessing beat Panda B5 2-0 in Ligue 1 on March 27, 2025.

The match was played at Stade Dominique Diur in Kolwezi.