Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 0–0 Saarbrücken U19

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Saarbrücken U19

3/8/2025

U19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 6Sportplatz Königsdorf

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U1949%

×Draw19%

Saarbrücken U1932%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19Expected goals in this matchSaarbrücken U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.49

2.02

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19

2.49

Saarbrücken U19

2.02

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 creates 23% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 37 away

2.00

creates per match

1.19

2.86

allows per match

2.97

creates per match

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19

2.00

Saarbrücken U19

1.19

allows per match

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19

2.86

Saarbrücken U19

2.97

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19+0.00on par

Saarbrücken U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over82
Under18

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes79
No21

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 ↓

Saarbrücken U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–12%

0–22%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–03%

1–16%

1–26%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–03%

2–17%

2–27%

2–35%

2–42%

3

3–03%

3–16%

3–26%

3–34%

3–42%

4

4–02%

4–14%

4–24%

4–32%

4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 86% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

94%6%2.5

82%18%3.5

65%35%4.5

46%54%

Double chance

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 or draw

68%

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 or Saarbrücken U19

81%

Draw or Saarbrücken U19

51%

Winning margin

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 wins by 2+

30%

Saarbrücken U19 wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 1+ goals

92%

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 2+ goals

71%

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 3+ goals

45%

Saarbrücken U19 1+ goals

87%

Saarbrücken U19 2+ goals

60%

Saarbrücken U19 3+ goals

33%

Draw no bet

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 (draw refunded)

60%

Saarbrücken U19 (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

74%

Both score & under 3

6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 at home — creates 2.00, concedes 2.86 · 7 matches

Saarbrücken U19 away — creates 1.19, concedes 2.97 · 37 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 attack 2.00 + Saarbrücken U19 defence 2.97 → ÷2 → 2.49

Saarbrücken U19 attack 1.19 + Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 defence 2.86 → ÷2 → 2.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 scores more

49%

level

19%

Saarbrücken U19 scores more

32%

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

73'

A. Wilhelm← B. Nsiah

73'

L. Koch← N. Kangela

73'

D. Güzelcan← A. Dos Santos Reis

84'

J. Chanot← E. Erdogan

89'

J. Happi← L. Behr

Blau-Weiß

Saarbrücken

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: L. Zampolin

73'▲A. Wilhelm←▼B. Nsiah

73'▲L. Koch←▼N. Kangela

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 substitutes

WilhelmKochVaitsarasBravoLightfootPeschFunk

Manager: S. D`Andrea

73'▲D. Güzelcan←▼A. Dos Santos Reis

84'▲J. Chanot←▼E. Erdogan

89'▲J. Happi←▼L. Behr

Saarbrücken U19 substitutes

GüzelcanChanotHappiErdoganFerringRiffel

U19 Bundesliga: Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 0–0 Saarbrücken U19

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 and Saarbrücken U19 drew 0-0 in U19 Bundesliga on March 8, 2025.

The match was played at Sportplatz Königsdorf in Frechen.

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 vs Saarbrücken U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

U19 Bundesliga: Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 0–0 Saarbrücken U19