Blansko 5–1 Velká Bíteš: Result & Stats

Blansko

FT

5 – 1

HT: 4 – 1

Velká Bíteš

Unknown 50', 45', 37', 30', 18'

Unknown 39'

1/31/2026

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Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Blansko67%

×Draw15%

Velká Bíteš18%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

BlanskoExpected goals in this matchVelká Bíteš

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

3.38

1.75

Blansko

3.38

Velká Bíteš

1.75

Blansko creates 93% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 4 away

2.25

creates per match

2.25

1.25

allows per match

4.50

creates per match

Blansko

2.25

Velká Bíteš

2.25

allows per match

Blansko

1.25

Velká Bíteš

4.50

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Blansko+0.00on par

Velká Bíteš+0.00on par

Total goals

Over88
Under12

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes80
No20

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blansko ↓

Velká Bíteš →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–01%

0–11%

0–21%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–02%

1–14%

1–23%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–04%

2–16%

2–25%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–17%

3–26%

3–34%

3–42%

4

4–03%

4–16%

4–25%

4–33%

4–41%

Most likely 3–1 (7%) · grid covers 77% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

99%1%1.5

96%4%2.5

88%12%3.5

74%26%4.5

56%44%

Double chance

Blansko or draw

82%

Blansko or Velká Bíteš

85%

Draw or Velká Bíteš

33%

Winning margin

Blansko wins by 2+

49%

Velká Bíteš wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Blansko 1+ goals

96%

Blansko 2+ goals

84%

Blansko 3+ goals

64%

Velká Bíteš 1+ goals

83%

Velká Bíteš 2+ goals

52%

Velká Bíteš 3+ goals

25%

Draw no bet

Blansko (draw refunded)

79%

Velká Bíteš (draw refunded)

21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

76%

Both score & under 3

4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blansko at home — creates 2.25, concedes 1.25 · 8 matches

Velká Bíteš away — creates 2.25, concedes 4.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blansko attack 2.25 + Velká Bíteš defence 4.50 → ÷2 → 3.38

Velká Bíteš attack 2.25 + Blansko defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.75

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 67%?"

Blansko scores more

67%

level

15%

Velká Bíteš scores more

18%

Blansko at 67% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 67% does not mean "Blansko will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

18'

30'

37'

39'

45'

50'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff