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Blackpool vs Stockport County — League One 2018

Blackpool
Blackpool
Preview
15:00
Stockport County
Stockport County
3/13/2027League OneLeague One · Round 35Bloomfield Road
40%
Blackpool
model favours
40%24%36%

Stockport County score first in only 20% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
57%
over 2.5 goals
60%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 8+ matches

Blackpool40%
×Draw24%
Stockport County36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Blackpool
1.53
Stockport County
1.44

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 8 home / 14 away

creates per match

Blackpool
1.49
Stockport County
1.24

allows per match

Blackpool
1.63
Stockport County
1.57

finishing

Blackpool-0.11scores less
Stockport County-0.17scores less

Total goals

57%Over
  • Over57
  • Under43

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blackpool ↓

Stockport County →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–25%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
57%43%3.5
34%66%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Blackpool or draw
64%
Blackpool or Stockport County
76%
Draw or Stockport County
60%

Winning margin

Blackpool wins by 2+
19%
Stockport County wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Blackpool 1+ goals
78%
Blackpool 2+ goals
45%
Blackpool 3+ goals
20%
Stockport County 1+ goals
76%
Stockport County 2+ goals
42%
Stockport County 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Blackpool (draw refunded)
53%
Stockport County (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blackpool at home — creates 1.49, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

Stockport County away — creates 1.24, concedes 1.57 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blackpool attack 1.49 + Stockport County defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.53

Stockport County attack 1.24 + Blackpool defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.44

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Blackpool scores more
40%
level
24%
Stockport County scores more
36%

Blackpool at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Blackpool will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 80% of Stockport County’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Stockport County have won 4 of the last 4 meetings
  • Both teams score in 70% of Stockport County’s matches

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Similar styles
Blackpool
Balanced
Stockport County
Balanced
47%Possession55%
71%Pass accuracy76%
10.9ShotsBiggest gap13.0
1.19xG1.37
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
BlackpoolStockport County

Head-to-head

4 previous meetings

0
Blackpool
0
Draws
4
Stockport County
Avg goals: 2.5BTTS: 50%
1–20–11–20–3

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Blackpool
LWWWW
County
WLWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Blackpool vs Stockport County — Match Preview

Blackpool face Stockport County on March 13, 2027 in this League One fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Blackpool host Stockport County at Bloomfield Road.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.