Blackpool 0–0 Peterborough: Result & Stats

Blackpool

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Peterborough

3/4/2025

League One · Round 35Bloomfield Road

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 134+ matches

Blackpool42%

×Draw25%

Peterborough32%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

BlackpoolExpected goals in this matchPeterborough

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.49

1.27

Blackpool

1.49

Peterborough

1.27

Blackpool creates 17% more chances

Season form · 134 home / 157 away

1.51

creates per match

1.43

1.10

allows per match

1.47

creates per match

Blackpool

1.51

Peterborough

1.43

allows per match

Blackpool

1.10

Peterborough

1.47

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Blackpool+0.00on par

Peterborough+0.00on par

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes56
No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blackpool ↓

Peterborough →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

30%70%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Blackpool or draw

68%

Blackpool or Peterborough

75%

Draw or Peterborough

58%

Winning margin

Blackpool wins by 2+

21%

Peterborough wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Blackpool 1+ goals

77%

Blackpool 2+ goals

44%

Blackpool 3+ goals

19%

Peterborough 1+ goals

72%

Peterborough 2+ goals

36%

Peterborough 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Blackpool (draw refunded)

57%

Peterborough (draw refunded)

43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

44%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blackpool at home — creates 1.51, concedes 1.10 · 134 matches

Peterborough away — creates 1.43, concedes 1.47 · 157 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blackpool attack 1.51 + Peterborough defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.49

Peterborough attack 1.43 + Blackpool defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Blackpool scores more

42%

level

25%

Peterborough scores more

32%

Blackpool at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Blackpool will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

30

H. Tyrer

Blackpool · G

7.7

Match Events

63'

R. Jones← B. Ihionvien

65'

C. Hamilton← E. Baggott

65'

R. Apter← A. Fletcher

80'

Ricky-Jade Jones

82'

Sam Hughes

83'

S. Silvera← H. Coulson

83'

Mahamadou Susoho← C. Hayes

85'

Samuel Silvera

89'

J. Onomah← A. Morgan

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

BlackpoolPeterborough

Overview

41%Possession59%

11Total Shots11

2Corners9

11Fouls11

Shots

11Total Shots11

2On Target4

5Off Target5

4Blocked2

6Inside Box8

5Outside Box3

Passing

41%Possession59%

367Total Passes542

300Accurate Passes455

82%Pass Accuracy84%

Goalkeeping

4Saves2

Discipline

11Fouls11

1Yellow Cards2

2Offsides1