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Blackpool vs Huddersfield — League One 2018

Blackpool
Blackpool
Preview
14:00
Huddersfield
Huddersfield
4/10/2027League OneLeague One · Round 40Bloomfield Road
Big match
47%
Huddersfield
model favours
29%24%47%

Their last 8 meetings averaged 3.5 goals

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
59%
over 2.5 goals
60%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 8+ matches

Blackpool29%
×Draw24%
Huddersfield47%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Blackpool
1.32
Huddersfield
1.73

Huddersfield creates 31% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 12 away

creates per match

Blackpool
1.49
Huddersfield
1.82

allows per match

Blackpool
1.63
Huddersfield
1.16

finishing

Blackpool-0.11scores less
Huddersfield+0.01on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blackpool ↓

Huddersfield →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–27%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–06%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Blackpool or draw
53%
Blackpool or Huddersfield
76%
Draw or Huddersfield
71%

Winning margin

Blackpool wins by 2+
13%
Huddersfield wins by 2+
25%

Team goals

Blackpool 1+ goals
73%
Blackpool 2+ goals
38%
Blackpool 3+ goals
15%
Huddersfield 1+ goals
82%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
52%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

Blackpool (draw refunded)
38%
Huddersfield (draw refunded)
62%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blackpool at home — creates 1.49, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

Huddersfield away — creates 1.82, concedes 1.16 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blackpool attack 1.49 + Huddersfield defence 1.16 → ÷2 → 1.32

Huddersfield attack 1.82 + Blackpool defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Blackpool scores more
29%
level
24%
Huddersfield scores more
47%

Huddersfield at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Huddersfield will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Huddersfield fall short of their xG (1.4 vs 1.9 expected)

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Blackpool
Balanced
Huddersfield
Attack-heavy
47%Possession50%
71%Pass accuracy74%
11.0Shots13.2
1.19xGBiggest gap1.85
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
BlackpoolHuddersfield

Head-to-head

8 previous meetings

3
Blackpool
3
Draws
2
Huddersfield
Avg goals: 3.5BTTS: 63%
2–23–22–22–02–2

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Blackpool
LWWWW
Huddersfield
LLWLW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Blackpool host Huddersfield

April 10, 2027: Blackpool take on Huddersfield in League One. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Blackpool host Huddersfield at Bloomfield Road.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.