Blackpool 3–2 Huddersfield: Result & Stats

Blackpool

FT

3 – 2

HT: 3 – 2

Huddersfield

N. Ennis 26', 13'

L. Evans 18'

L. Gooch 31'

B. Wiles 4'

8/16/2025

League One · Round 3Bloomfield Road

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 8+ matches

Blackpool32%

×Draw24%

Huddersfield44%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

BlackpoolExpected goals in this matchHuddersfield

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.38

1.65

Blackpool

1.38

Huddersfield

1.65

Huddersfield creates 20% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 14 away

1.49

creates per match

1.68

1.63

allows per match

1.26

creates per match

Blackpool

1.49

Huddersfield

1.68

allows per match

Blackpool

1.63

Huddersfield

1.26

-0.11scores less than expected

finishing

-0.04on par

finishing

Blackpool-0.11scores less

Huddersfield-0.04on par

Total goals

Over58
Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes60
No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blackpool ↓

Huddersfield →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–18%

0–27%

0–34%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–23%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

80%20%2.5

58%42%3.5

36%64%4.5

19%81%

Double chance

Blackpool or draw

56%

Blackpool or Huddersfield

76%

Draw or Huddersfield

68%

Winning margin

Blackpool wins by 2+

14%

Huddersfield wins by 2+

23%

Team goals

Blackpool 1+ goals

75%

Blackpool 2+ goals

40%

Blackpool 3+ goals

16%

Huddersfield 1+ goals

81%

Huddersfield 2+ goals

49%

Huddersfield 3+ goals

23%

Draw no bet

Blackpool (draw refunded)

42%

Huddersfield (draw refunded)

58%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

49%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blackpool at home — creates 1.49, concedes 1.63 · 8 matches

Huddersfield away — creates 1.68, concedes 1.26 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blackpool attack 1.49 + Huddersfield defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.38

Huddersfield attack 1.68 + Blackpool defence 1.63 → ÷2 → 1.65

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Blackpool scores more

32%

level

24%

Huddersfield scores more

44%

Huddersfield at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Huddersfield will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

7

L. Evans

Blackpool · M

8.3

Match Events

4'

B. Wiles↳ R. Roosken

13'

N. Ennis

18'

L. Evans↳ A. Fletcher

24'

Joe Low

26'

N. Ennis↳ G. Honeyman

31'

L. Gooch↳ A. May

36'

Niall Ennis

41'

A. Morgan← A. Fletcher

60'

Z. Ashworth← T. Bloxham

60'

L. Castledine← R. Ledson

72'

J. Taylor← B. Wiles

72'

M. McGuane← H. Kane

79'

L. Sorensen← L. Gooch

79'

C. Ashia← R. Roosken

90+6'

Marcus Harness

90+3'

A. Lyons← J. Brown

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

BlackpoolHuddersfield

Overview

23%Possession77%

8Total Shots17

1Corners7

10Fouls17

Shots

8Total Shots17

4On Target3

2Off Target4

2Blocked10

5Inside Box6

3Outside Box11

Passing

23%Possession77%

207Total Passes702

119Accurate Passes621

57%Pass Accuracy88%

Goalkeeping

1Saves1

Discipline

10Fouls17

0Yellow Cards2

1Red Cards0

1Offsides2