Blackburn 0–7 Fulham: Result & Stats | Championship

Blackburn

FT

0 – 7

HT: 0 – 2

Fulham

Rodrigo Muniz 90+1', 81'

N. Kebano 79', 6'

H. Wilson 58', 54'

A. Mitrović 19'

11/3/2021

Championship · Round 16Ewood Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 46+ matches

Blackburn32%

×Draw27%

Fulham41%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

BlackburnExpected goals in this matchFulham

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.15

1.33

Blackburn

1.15

Fulham

1.33

Fulham creates 16% more chances

Season form · 189 home / 46 away

1.34

creates per match

1.54

1.11

allows per match

0.96

creates per match

Blackburn

1.34

Fulham

1.54

allows per match

Blackburn

1.11

Fulham

0.96

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Blackburn+0.00on par

Fulham+0.00on par

Total goals

Under55
Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No50
Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Blackburn ↓

Fulham →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–111%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–010%

1–113%

1–29%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–17%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

45%55%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Blackburn or draw

59%

Blackburn or Fulham

73%

Draw or Fulham

68%

Winning margin

Blackburn wins by 2+

13%

Fulham wins by 2+

19%

Team goals

Blackburn 1+ goals

68%

Blackburn 2+ goals

32%

Blackburn 3+ goals

11%

Fulham 1+ goals

74%

Fulham 2+ goals

38%

Fulham 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

Blackburn (draw refunded)

44%

Fulham (draw refunded)

56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

37%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Blackburn at home — creates 1.34, concedes 1.11 · 189 matches

Fulham away — creates 1.54, concedes 0.96 · 46 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Blackburn attack 1.34 + Fulham defence 0.96 → ÷2 → 1.15

Fulham attack 1.54 + Blackburn defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.33

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Blackburn scores more

32%

level

27%

Fulham scores more

41%

Fulham at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Fulham will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9

A. Mitrović

Fulham · F

9.3

Match Events

6'

N. Kebano↳ B. De Cordova-Reid

19'

A. Mitrović↳ J. Seri

30'

Jan Paul van Hecke

32'

H. Carter← J. Buckley

54'

H. Wilson↳ A. Mitrović

58'

H. Wilson↳ A. Mitrović

59'

T. Cairney← J. Seri

62'

J. Rankin-Costello← J. Rothwell

63'

D. Butterworth← T. Dolan

67'

Rodrigo Muniz← A. Mitrović

73'

F. Carvalho← B. De Cordova-Reid

74'

Adetayo Edun

79'

N. Kebano↳ T. Cairney

81'

Rodrigo Muniz↳ N. Kebano

90'

Joe Rankin-Costello

90+1'

Rodrigo Muniz↳ A. Robinson

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

BlackburnFulham

Overview

33%Possession67%

5Total Shots18

2Corners8

7Fouls4

Shots

5Total Shots18

2On Target10

1Off Target7

2Blocked1

4Inside Box15

1Outside Box3

Passing

33%Possession67%

315Total Passes630

223Accurate Passes564

71%Pass Accuracy90%

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

Discipline

7Fouls4

2Yellow Cards0

1Red Cards0

3Offsides2

Championship: Blackburn 0–7 Fulham

Fulham beat Blackburn 7-0 in Championship on November 3, 2021.

Goals: N. Kebano (6', 79'), A. Mitrović (19'), H. Wilson (54', 58'), Rodrigo Muniz (81', 90+1').

Fulham controlled possession (67%) and registered 18 shots to 5.

The match was played at Ewood Park in Blackburn, Lancashire.

Blackburn vs Fulham — Championship 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Championship: Blackburn 0–7 Fulham