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Black Rhinos vs Ngezi Platinum — Premier Soccer League 2026

Black Rhinos
Black Rhinos
FT
0 – 0
Ngezi Platinum
Ngezi Platinum
11/25/2019Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 32Rufaro Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 51+ matches

Black Rhinos35%
×Draw33%
Ngezi Platinum32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Black Rhinos
0.93
Ngezi Platinum
0.88

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 51 home / 96 away

creates per match

Black Rhinos
1.06
Ngezi Platinum
0.88

allows per match

Black Rhinos
0.88
Ngezi Platinum
0.80

finishing

Black Rhinos+0.00on par
Ngezi Platinum+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Under
  • Under73
  • Over27

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

65%No
  • No65
  • Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Black Rhinos ↓

Ngezi Platinum →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–016%
0–114%
0–26%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–07%
2–16%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (16%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
84%16%1.5
54%46%2.5
27%73%3.5
11%89%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Black Rhinos or draw
68%
Black Rhinos or Ngezi Platinum
67%
Draw or Ngezi Platinum
65%

Winning margin

Black Rhinos wins by 2+
13%
Ngezi Platinum wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Black Rhinos 1+ goals
61%
Black Rhinos 2+ goals
24%
Black Rhinos 3+ goals
7%
Ngezi Platinum 1+ goals
59%
Ngezi Platinum 2+ goals
22%
Ngezi Platinum 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Black Rhinos (draw refunded)
52%
Ngezi Platinum (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
22%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Black Rhinos at home — creates 1.06, concedes 0.88 · 51 matches

Ngezi Platinum away — creates 0.88, concedes 0.80 · 96 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Black Rhinos attack 1.06 + Ngezi Platinum defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.93

Ngezi Platinum attack 0.88 + Black Rhinos defence 0.88 → ÷2 → 0.88

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 35%?"

Black Rhinos scores more
35%
level
33%
Ngezi Platinum scores more
32%

Black Rhinos at 35% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 35% does not mean "Black Rhinos will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier Soccer League: Black Rhinos 0–0 Ngezi Platinum

Black Rhinos and Ngezi Platinum drew 0-0 in Premier Soccer League on November 25, 2019.

The match was played at Rufaro Stadium in Harare.