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Bitam vs US Oyem — Championnat D1 2022

Bitam
Bitam
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
US Oyem
US Oyem
6/17/2026Championnat D1Championnat D1 · Round 2Stade Gaston Peyrille

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Bitam44%
×Draw27%
US Oyem29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bitam
1.40
US Oyem
1.09

Bitam creates 28% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 33 away

creates per match

Bitam
1.17
US Oyem
0.91

allows per match

Bitam
1.27
US Oyem
1.64

finishing

Bitam+0.00on par
US Oyem+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Under
  • Under55
  • Over45

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

50%No
  • No50
  • Yes50

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bitam ↓

US Oyem →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
71%29%2.5
45%55%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Bitam or draw
71%
Bitam or US Oyem
73%
Draw or US Oyem
56%

Winning margin

Bitam wins by 2+
21%
US Oyem wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Bitam 1+ goals
75%
Bitam 2+ goals
41%
Bitam 3+ goals
17%
US Oyem 1+ goals
66%
US Oyem 2+ goals
30%
US Oyem 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Bitam (draw refunded)
60%
US Oyem (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
37%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bitam at home — creates 1.17, concedes 1.27 · 30 matches

US Oyem away — creates 0.91, concedes 1.64 · 33 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bitam attack 1.17 + US Oyem defence 1.64 → ÷2 → 1.40

US Oyem attack 0.91 + Bitam defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.09

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Bitam scores more
44%
level
27%
US Oyem scores more
29%

Bitam at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Bitam will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Bitam vs US Oyem

Bitam and US Oyem drew 0-0 in Championnat D1 on June 17, 2026.

The match was played at Stade Gaston Peyrille in Bitam.