Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Bishkek City vs Abdish-Ata — Premier League 2026

Bishkek City
Bishkek City
FT
1 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Abdish-Ata
Abdish-Ata
I. Mezhitov 58'
3/8/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 22+ matches

Bishkek City24%
×Draw24%
Abdish-Ata52%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bishkek City
1.10
Abdish-Ata
1.72

Abdish-Ata creates 56% more chances

Season form · 22 home / 94 away

creates per match

Bishkek City
0.95
Abdish-Ata
1.94

allows per match

Bishkek City
1.50
Abdish-Ata
1.26

finishing

Bishkek City+0.00on par
Abdish-Ata+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bishkek City ↓

Abdish-Ata →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–110%
0–29%
0–35%
0–42%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–210%
1–36%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–16%
2–25%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
31%69%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Bishkek City or draw
48%
Bishkek City or Abdish-Ata
76%
Draw or Abdish-Ata
76%

Winning margin

Bishkek City wins by 2+
9%
Abdish-Ata wins by 2+
28%

Team goals

Bishkek City 1+ goals
67%
Bishkek City 2+ goals
30%
Bishkek City 3+ goals
10%
Abdish-Ata 1+ goals
82%
Abdish-Ata 2+ goals
51%
Abdish-Ata 3+ goals
25%

Draw no bet

Bishkek City (draw refunded)
32%
Abdish-Ata (draw refunded)
68%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bishkek City at home — creates 0.95, concedes 1.50 · 22 matches

Abdish-Ata away — creates 1.94, concedes 1.26 · 94 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bishkek City attack 0.95 + Abdish-Ata defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.10

Abdish-Ata attack 1.94 + Bishkek City defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.72

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Bishkek City scores more
24%
level
24%
Abdish-Ata scores more
52%

Abdish-Ata at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "Abdish-Ata will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

58'
I. Mezhitov

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Bishkek City 1–0 Abdish-Ata

Bishkek City beat Abdish-Ata 1-0 in Premier League on March 8, 2026.

Goals: I. Mezhitov (58').