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Bikita Minerals vs Bulawayo Chiefs — Premier Soccer League 2026

Bikita Minerals
Bikita Minerals
FT
2 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Bulawayo Chiefs
Bulawayo Chiefs
Unknown 40', 36'
4/13/2024Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 6Sakubva Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 34+ matches

Bikita Minerals42%
×Draw31%
Bulawayo Chiefs27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bikita Minerals
1.12
Bulawayo Chiefs
0.83

Bikita Minerals creates 35% more chances

Season form · 34 home / 80 away

creates per match

Bikita Minerals
1.00
Bulawayo Chiefs
0.81

allows per match

Bikita Minerals
0.85
Bulawayo Chiefs
1.24

finishing

Bikita Minerals+0.00on par
Bulawayo Chiefs+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Under
  • Under69
  • Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

62%No
  • No62
  • Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bikita Minerals ↓

Bulawayo Chiefs →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–112%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–113%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
58%42%2.5
31%69%3.5
13%87%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Bikita Minerals or draw
73%
Bikita Minerals or Bulawayo Chiefs
69%
Draw or Bulawayo Chiefs
58%

Winning margin

Bikita Minerals wins by 2+
18%
Bulawayo Chiefs wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Bikita Minerals 1+ goals
67%
Bikita Minerals 2+ goals
31%
Bikita Minerals 3+ goals
10%
Bulawayo Chiefs 1+ goals
56%
Bulawayo Chiefs 2+ goals
20%
Bulawayo Chiefs 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Bikita Minerals (draw refunded)
61%
Bulawayo Chiefs (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
25%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bikita Minerals at home — creates 1.00, concedes 0.85 · 34 matches

Bulawayo Chiefs away — creates 0.81, concedes 1.24 · 80 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bikita Minerals attack 1.00 + Bulawayo Chiefs defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.12

Bulawayo Chiefs attack 0.81 + Bikita Minerals defence 0.85 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Bikita Minerals scores more
42%
level
31%
Bulawayo Chiefs scores more
27%

Bikita Minerals at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Bikita Minerals will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

36'
40'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier Soccer League: Bikita Minerals 2–0 Bulawayo Chiefs

Bikita Minerals beat Bulawayo Chiefs 2-0 in Premier Soccer League on April 13, 2024.

Goals: ? (36', 40').

The match was played at Sakubva Stadium in Mutare.