Scoreo

Bihor Oradea vs LokomotivFriendlies Clubs 2026

Bihor Oradea
Bihor Oradea
FT
12
HT: 01
Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Bihor Oradea31%
×Draw28%
Lokomotiv41%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bihor Oradea
1.03
Lokomotiv
1.24

Lokomotiv creates 20% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 3 away

creates per match

Bihor Oradea
1.40
Lokomotiv
0.67

allows per match

Bihor Oradea
1.80
Lokomotiv
0.67

finishing

Bihor Oradea+0.00on par
Lokomotiv+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bihor Oradea

Lokomotiv
0
1
2
3
4
0
0010%
0113%
028%
033%
041%
1
1011%
1113%
128%
133%
141%
2
205%
217%
224%
232%
241%
3
302%
312%
321%
331%
340%
4
400%
411%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
66%34%2.5
40%60%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Bihor Oradea or draw
59%
Bihor Oradea or Lokomotiv
72%
Draw or Lokomotiv
69%

Winning margin

Bihor Oradea wins by 2+
12%
Lokomotiv wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Bihor Oradea 1+ goals
64%
Bihor Oradea 2+ goals
28%
Bihor Oradea 3+ goals
9%
Lokomotiv 1+ goals
71%
Lokomotiv 2+ goals
35%
Lokomotiv 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Bihor Oradea (draw refunded)
43%
Lokomotiv (draw refunded)
57%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bihor Oradea at homecreates 1.40, concedes 1.80 · 5 matches

Lokomotiv awaycreates 0.67, concedes 0.67 · 3 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bihor Oradea attack 1.40 + Lokomotiv defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 1.03

Lokomotiv attack 0.67 + Bihor Oradea defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.24

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Bihor Oradea scores more
31%
level
28%
Lokomotiv scores more
41%

Lokomotiv at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Lokomotiv will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Bihor
Lokomotiv
Erik Lincar
Manager: Erik Lincar

Friendlies Clubs: Bihor Oradea 1–2 Lokomotiv

Lokomotiv beat Bihor Oradea 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on February 4, 2026.