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Bihor Oradea vs Fratria — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Bihor Oradea
Bihor Oradea
FT
2 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Fratria
Fratria
2/6/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Bihor Oradea37%
×Draw24%
Fratria39%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bihor Oradea
1.53
Fratria
1.56

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 5 home / 6 away

creates per match

Bihor Oradea
1.40
Fratria
1.33

allows per match

Bihor Oradea
1.80
Fratria
1.67

finishing

Bihor Oradea+0.00on par
Fratria+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

62%Yes
  • Yes62
  • No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bihor Oradea ↓

Fratria →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Bihor Oradea or draw
61%
Bihor Oradea or Fratria
76%
Draw or Fratria
63%

Winning margin

Bihor Oradea wins by 2+
18%
Fratria wins by 2+
19%

Team goals

Bihor Oradea 1+ goals
78%
Bihor Oradea 2+ goals
45%
Bihor Oradea 3+ goals
20%
Fratria 1+ goals
79%
Fratria 2+ goals
46%
Fratria 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Bihor Oradea (draw refunded)
49%
Fratria (draw refunded)
51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bihor Oradea at home — creates 1.40, concedes 1.80 · 5 matches

Fratria away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bihor Oradea attack 1.40 + Fratria defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.53

Fratria attack 1.33 + Bihor Oradea defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 1.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Bihor Oradea scores more
37%
level
24%
Fratria scores more
39%

Fratria at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Fratria will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Bihor
Fratria
Erik Lincar
Manager: Erik Lincar
Alexei Savinov
Manager: Alexei Savinov

Friendlies Clubs: Bihor Oradea 2–2 Fratria

Bihor Oradea and Fratria drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on February 6, 2026.