Bihor Oradea 4–2 CSA Steaua Bucureşti

Bihor Oradea

FT

4 – 2

HT: 2 – 2

CSA Steaua Bucureşti

I. Hora 71'

A. Cocian 60'

A. Stahl 26'

I. D. Ban 10'

Rubio 24'

M. Adascalitei 18'

8/30/2025

Liga II · Round 5Stadionul Iuliu Bodola

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Bihor Oradea36%

×Draw25%

CSA Steaua Bucureşti39%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Bihor OradeaExpected goals in this matchCSA Steaua Bucureşti

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.42

1.48

Bihor Oradea

1.42

CSA Steaua Bucureşti

1.48

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 30 home / 72 away

1.67

creates per match

1.46

1.50

allows per match

1.17

creates per match

Bihor Oradea

1.67

CSA Steaua Bucureşti

1.46

allows per match

Bihor Oradea

1.50

CSA Steaua Bucureşti

1.17

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Bihor Oradea+0.00on par

CSA Steaua Bucureşti+0.00on par

Total goals

Over55
Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes59
No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bihor Oradea ↓

CSA Steaua Bucureşti →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–18%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–112%

1–29%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–23%

3–31%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

79%21%2.5

55%45%3.5

33%67%4.5

17%83%

Double chance

Bihor Oradea or draw

61%

Bihor Oradea or CSA Steaua Bucureşti

75%

Draw or CSA Steaua Bucureşti

64%

Winning margin

Bihor Oradea wins by 2+

17%

CSA Steaua Bucureşti wins by 2+

19%

Team goals

Bihor Oradea 1+ goals

76%

Bihor Oradea 2+ goals

41%

Bihor Oradea 3+ goals

17%

CSA Steaua Bucureşti 1+ goals

77%

CSA Steaua Bucureşti 2+ goals

43%

CSA Steaua Bucureşti 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Bihor Oradea (draw refunded)

48%

CSA Steaua Bucureşti (draw refunded)

52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

47%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bihor Oradea at home — creates 1.67, concedes 1.50 · 30 matches

CSA Steaua Bucureşti away — creates 1.46, concedes 1.17 · 72 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bihor Oradea attack 1.67 + CSA Steaua Bucureşti defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.42

CSA Steaua Bucureşti attack 1.46 + Bihor Oradea defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Bihor Oradea scores more

36%

level

25%

CSA Steaua Bucureşti scores more

39%

CSA Steaua Bucureşti at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "CSA Steaua Bucureşti will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

10'

18'

24'

26'

46'

60'

61'

M. I. Roman← F. Rasdan

61'

B. Chipirliu← Rubio

69'

I. Hora← A. Cocian

71'

M. Ionita← D. Cimpoesu

71'

I. Hora

76'

R. Gunie← D. Tescan

83'

L. Tincau← A. Stahl

Bihor

CSA

▼

▼

⚽

▼

⚽

▼

Rubio

1

Mocan

26

⚽

4

3

18

16

6

10

⚽

▼

Stahl

25

⚽

▼

Cocian

19

Enceanu

28

▼

Tescan

Manager: E. Lincar

69'▲I. Hora←▼A. Cocian

76'▲R. Gunie←▼D. Tescan

83'▲L. Tincau←▼A. Stahl

Bihor Oradea substitutes

12Cadar2Albu22Panait21Beglarkhonov27Gitye8Gunie7Hora9Chiritoiu11Tincau

Manager: D. Oprița

46'▲G. Nedelea←▼N. Lumbu

61'▲M. I. Roman←▼F. Rasdan

61'▲B. Chipirliu←▼Rubio

71'▲M. Ionita←▼D. Cimpoesu

CSA Steaua Bucureşti substitutes

PleteaLantosIonitaRotaruPopaRomanIordanChipirliuNedelea

Liga II: Bihor Oradea 4–2 CSA Steaua Bucureşti

Bihor Oradea beat CSA Steaua Bucureşti 4-2 in Liga II on August 30, 2025.

Goals: I. D. Ban (10'), M. Adascalitei (18'), Rubio (24'), A. Stahl (26'), A. Cocian (60'), I. Hora (71').

The match was played at Stadionul Iuliu Bodola in Oradea.

Bihor Oradea vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti — Liga II 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Liga II: Bihor Oradea 4–2 CSA Steaua Bucureşti