Scoreo

Bihor Oradea vs CS Dinamo BucureștiLiga II 2018

A. Cocian 89'
I. Hora 83'
A. Chiritoiu 50', 37'
A. Stahl 13'
11/29/2025Liga IILiga II · Round 15Stadionul Iuliu Bodola

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Bihor Oradea50%
×Draw23%
CS Dinamo București27%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bihor Oradea
1.80
CS Dinamo București
1.25

Bihor Oradea creates 44% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 15 away

creates per match

Bihor Oradea
1.67
CS Dinamo București
1.00

allows per match

Bihor Oradea
1.50
CS Dinamo București
1.93

finishing

Bihor Oradea+0.00on par
CS Dinamo București+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Over
  • Over59
  • Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bihor Oradea

CS Dinamo București
0
1
2
3
4
0
005%
016%
024%
032%
040%
1
109%
1111%
127%
133%
141%
2
208%
2110%
226%
233%
241%
3
305%
316%
324%
332%
340%
4
402%
413%
422%
431%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
59%41%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Bihor Oradea or draw
73%
Bihor Oradea or CS Dinamo București
77%
Draw or CS Dinamo București
50%

Winning margin

Bihor Oradea wins by 2+
28%
CS Dinamo București wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Bihor Oradea 1+ goals
83%
Bihor Oradea 2+ goals
54%
Bihor Oradea 3+ goals
27%
CS Dinamo București 1+ goals
71%
CS Dinamo București 2+ goals
36%
CS Dinamo București 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Bihor Oradea (draw refunded)
65%
CS Dinamo București (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
49%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bihor Oradea at homecreates 1.67, concedes 1.50 · 30 matches

CS Dinamo București awaycreates 1.00, concedes 1.93 · 15 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bihor Oradea attack 1.67 + CS Dinamo București defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 1.80

CS Dinamo București attack 1.00 + Bihor Oradea defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Bihor Oradea scores more
50%
level
23%
CS Dinamo București scores more
27%

Bihor Oradea at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Bihor Oradea will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Bihor
CS
Erik Lincar
Manager: Erik Lincar
64'L. TincauD. Tescan
64'I. HoraA. Chiritoiu
74'I. D. BanD. Panait
74'T. CalinI. Filip
78'R. GunieA. Stahl

Bihor Oradea substitutes

46'V. KyrychenkoA. E. Bobaru
66'R. CernamoritB. Alexandru
66'A. IosofacheA. Demici
74'V. MorarC. Cocos
74'L. BodronR. Malaele

CS Dinamo București substitutes

Bihor Oradea 5 – 0 CS Dinamo București

Bihor Oradea beat CS Dinamo București 5-0 in Liga II on November 29, 2025.

Goals: A. Stahl (13'), A. Chiritoiu (37', 50'), I. Hora (83'), A. Cocian (89').

The match was played at Stadionul Iuliu Bodola in Oradea.