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Bhutan W vs Laos W — Friendlies Women 2026

Bhutan W
Bhutan W
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Laos W
Laos W
9/24/2023Friendlies WomenFriendlies Women · Friendlies 2King Fahd Sport City Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Bhutan W70%
×Draw16%
Laos W14%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bhutan W
2.70
Laos W
1.13

Bhutan W creates 139% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 4 away

creates per match

Bhutan W
2.14
Laos W
0.25

allows per match

Bhutan W
2.00
Laos W
3.25

finishing

Bhutan W+0.00on par
Laos W+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Over
  • Over73
  • Under27

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bhutan W ↓

Laos W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–21%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–17%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–05%
4–16%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
73%27%3.5
52%48%4.5
32%68%

Double chance

Bhutan W or draw
86%
Bhutan W or Laos W
84%
Draw or Laos W
30%

Winning margin

Bhutan W wins by 2+
49%
Laos W wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Bhutan W 1+ goals
93%
Bhutan W 2+ goals
75%
Bhutan W 3+ goals
50%
Laos W 1+ goals
68%
Laos W 2+ goals
31%
Laos W 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Bhutan W (draw refunded)
84%
Laos W (draw refunded)
16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bhutan W at home — creates 2.14, concedes 2.00 · 7 matches

Laos W away — creates 0.25, concedes 3.25 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bhutan W attack 2.14 + Laos W defence 3.25 → ÷2 → 2.70

Laos W attack 0.25 + Bhutan W defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 70%?"

Bhutan W scores more
70%
level
16%
Laos W scores more
14%

Bhutan W at 70% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 70% does not mean "Bhutan W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Bhutan W vs Laos W

Bhutan W and Laos W drew 0-0 in Friendlies Women on September 24, 2023.

The match was played at King Fahd Sport City Stadium in Ta'if.