Betanzos 0–0 Celta de Vigo III: Result & Stats

Betanzos

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Celta de Vigo III

1/21/2024

Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 17Estadio García Hermanos

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 34+ matches

Betanzos33%

×Draw31%

Celta de Vigo III36%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

BetanzosExpected goals in this matchCelta de Vigo III

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

0.97

1.04

Betanzos

0.97

Celta de Vigo III

1.04

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 34 home / 66 away

0.97

creates per match

1.00

1.09

allows per match

0.98

creates per match

Betanzos

0.97

Celta de Vigo III

1.00

allows per match

Betanzos

1.09

Celta de Vigo III

0.98

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Betanzos+0.00on par

Celta de Vigo III+0.00on par

Total goals

Under67
Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No60
Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Betanzos ↓

Celta de Vigo III →

0–013%

0–114%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1–013%

1–114%

1–27%

1–32%

1–41%

2–06%

2–17%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3–02%

3–12%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4–00%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

87%13%1.5

60%40%2.5

33%67%3.5

14%86%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Betanzos or draw

64%

Betanzos or Celta de Vigo III

69%

Draw or Celta de Vigo III

67%

Winning margin

Betanzos wins by 2+

12%

Celta de Vigo III wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Betanzos 1+ goals

62%

Betanzos 2+ goals

25%

Betanzos 3+ goals

Celta de Vigo III 1+ goals

65%

Celta de Vigo III 2+ goals

28%

Celta de Vigo III 3+ goals

Draw no bet

Betanzos (draw refunded)

47%

Celta de Vigo III (draw refunded)

53%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

27%

Both score & under 3

14%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Betanzos at home — creates 0.97, concedes 1.09 · 34 matches

Celta de Vigo III away — creates 1.00, concedes 0.98 · 66 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Betanzos attack 0.97 + Celta de Vigo III defence 0.98 → ÷2 → 0.97

Celta de Vigo III attack 1.00 + Betanzos defence 1.09 → ÷2 → 1.04

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 36%?"

Betanzos scores more

33%

level

31%

Celta de Vigo III scores more

36%

Celta de Vigo III at 36% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 36% does not mean "Celta de Vigo III will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Tercera División RFEF - Group 1: Betanzos 0–0 Celta de Vigo III

Betanzos and Celta de Vigo III drew 0-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 on January 21, 2024.

The match was played at Estadio García Hermanos in Betanzos.

Betanzos vs Celta de Vigo III — Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Tercera División RFEF - Group 1: Betanzos 0–0 Celta de Vigo III