Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Beşiktaş vs Shakhtar Donetsk — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş
CANC
00:00
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
4/13/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 1TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Beşiktaş34%
×Draw25%
Shakhtar Donetsk41%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Beşiktaş
1.33
Shakhtar Donetsk
1.50

Shakhtar Donetsk creates 13% more chances

Season form · 4 home / 6 away

creates per match

Beşiktaş
2.00
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.00

allows per match

Beşiktaş
1.00
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.67

finishing

Beşiktaş+0.00on par
Shakhtar Donetsk+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Beşiktaş ↓

Shakhtar Donetsk →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–19%
0–27%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
54%46%3.5
31%69%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Beşiktaş or draw
59%
Beşiktaş or Shakhtar Donetsk
75%
Draw or Shakhtar Donetsk
66%

Winning margin

Beşiktaş wins by 2+
15%
Shakhtar Donetsk wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Beşiktaş 1+ goals
74%
Beşiktaş 2+ goals
38%
Beşiktaş 3+ goals
15%
Shakhtar Donetsk 1+ goals
78%
Shakhtar Donetsk 2+ goals
44%
Shakhtar Donetsk 3+ goals
19%

Draw no bet

Beşiktaş (draw refunded)
45%
Shakhtar Donetsk (draw refunded)
55%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Beşiktaş at home — creates 2.00, concedes 1.00 · 4 matches

Shakhtar Donetsk away — creates 2.00, concedes 0.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Beşiktaş attack 2.00 + Shakhtar Donetsk defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 1.33

Shakhtar Donetsk attack 2.00 + Beşiktaş defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Beşiktaş scores more
34%
level
25%
Shakhtar Donetsk scores more
41%

Shakhtar Donetsk at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Shakhtar Donetsk will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Beşiktaş vs Shakhtar Donetsk — Match Preview

Beşiktaş face Shakhtar Donetsk on April 13, 2022 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Beşiktaş host Shakhtar Donetsk at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.