Bendel Insurance 2–2 Plateau United: Result & Stats

Bendel Insurance

FT

2 – 2

HT: 1 – 1

Plateau United

K. Oke Solomon 60' (pen)

A. Oweilayefa 14'

V. Temitope 87' (pen)

G. Monday 41'

3/28/2026

NPFL · Round 32Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 80+ matches

Bendel Insurance56%

×Draw28%

Plateau United16%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Bendel InsuranceExpected goals in this matchPlateau United

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.35

0.58

Bendel Insurance

1.35

Plateau United

0.58

Bendel Insurance creates 133% more chances

Season form · 80 home / 127 away

1.31

creates per match

0.65

0.51

allows per match

1.39

creates per match

Bendel Insurance

1.31

Plateau United

0.65

allows per match

Bendel Insurance

0.51

Plateau United

1.39

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Bendel Insurance+0.00on par

Plateau United+0.00on par

Total goals

Under70
Over30

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No67
Yes33

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bendel Insurance ↓

Plateau United →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–015%

0–18%

0–22%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–020%

1–111%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–013%

2–18%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–06%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (20%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

85%15%1.5

57%43%2.5

30%70%3.5

13%87%4.5

5%95%

Double chance

Bendel Insurance or draw

84%

Bendel Insurance or Plateau United

72%

Draw or Plateau United

44%

Winning margin

Bendel Insurance wins by 2+

27%

Plateau United wins by 2+

4%

Team goals

Bendel Insurance 1+ goals

74%

Bendel Insurance 2+ goals

39%

Bendel Insurance 3+ goals

15%

Plateau United 1+ goals

44%

Plateau United 2+ goals

12%

Plateau United 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Bendel Insurance (draw refunded)

78%

Plateau United (draw refunded)

22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

21%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bendel Insurance at home — creates 1.31, concedes 0.51 · 80 matches

Plateau United away — creates 0.65, concedes 1.39 · 127 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bendel Insurance attack 1.31 + Plateau United defence 1.39 → ÷2 → 1.35

Plateau United attack 0.65 + Bendel Insurance defence 0.51 → ÷2 → 0.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Bendel Insurance scores more

56%

level

28%

Plateau United scores more

16%

Bendel Insurance at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Bendel Insurance will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

14'

A. Oweilayefa

19'

M. Pam← I. Abdallah

41'

G. Monday

57'

60'

K. Oke SolomonPenalty

67'

83'

87'

V. TemitopePenalty

89'

90+2'

Bendel

Plateau

21

2

15

3

26

36

12

▼

Abdallah

7

⚽

Temitope

40

Isaiah

27

⚽

10

12

2

4

14

33

3

7

11

25

6

⚽

Oweilayef

21

⚽

Solomon

Manager: Greg Ikhenoba

Bendel Insurance substitutes

31Obiazo15Enabulele34Araromi18Anthony37Ubiomo13Okoro36Osaghae8Akuneto40Torisheju

Manager: Sola Adegun

19'▲M. Pam←▼I. Abdallah

Plateau United substitutes

31Adeniyi29Dabo6Biweribo23Opara32Dawa19Pam18Adeyanju28Aboh33Dabani

NPFL: Bendel Insurance 2–2 Plateau United

Bendel Insurance and Plateau United drew 2-2 in NPFL on March 28, 2026.

Goals: A. Oweilayefa (14'), G. Monday (41'), K. Oke Solomon (60' pen), V. Temitope (87' pen).

The match was played at Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium in Benin City.

Bendel Insurance vs Plateau United — NPFL 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

NPFL: Bendel Insurance 2–2 Plateau United