Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Béké Bembèrèkè vs Loto Popo — Championnat National 2019

Béké Bembèrèkè
Béké Bembèrèkè
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Loto Popo
Loto Popo
10/5/2024Championnat NationalChampionnat National · Group A - 2Stade Municipal de Bembèrèkè

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 88+ matches

Béké Bembèrèkè35%
×Draw33%
Loto Popo33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Béké Bembèrèkè
0.93
Loto Popo
0.89

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 88 home / 93 away

creates per match

Béké Bembèrèkè
1.08
Loto Popo
0.99

allows per match

Béké Bembèrèkè
0.78
Loto Popo
0.78

finishing

Béké Bembèrèkè+0.00on par
Loto Popo+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Under
  • Under73
  • Over27

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

64%No
  • No64
  • Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Béké Bembèrèkè ↓

Loto Popo →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–016%
0–114%
0–26%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–07%
2–16%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (16%) · grid covers 100% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
84%16%1.5
54%46%2.5
27%73%3.5
11%89%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Béké Bembèrèkè or draw
67%
Béké Bembèrèkè or Loto Popo
67%
Draw or Loto Popo
65%

Winning margin

Béké Bembèrèkè wins by 2+
13%
Loto Popo wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Béké Bembèrèkè 1+ goals
61%
Béké Bembèrèkè 2+ goals
24%
Béké Bembèrèkè 3+ goals
7%
Loto Popo 1+ goals
59%
Loto Popo 2+ goals
22%
Loto Popo 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Béké Bembèrèkè (draw refunded)
52%
Loto Popo (draw refunded)
48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
22%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Béké Bembèrèkè at home — creates 1.08, concedes 0.78 · 88 matches

Loto Popo away — creates 0.99, concedes 0.78 · 93 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Béké Bembèrèkè attack 1.08 + Loto Popo defence 0.78 → ÷2 → 0.93

Loto Popo attack 0.99 + Béké Bembèrèkè defence 0.78 → ÷2 → 0.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 35%?"

Béké Bembèrèkè scores more
35%
level
33%
Loto Popo scores more
33%

Béké Bembèrèkè at 35% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 35% does not mean "Béké Bembèrèkè will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Championnat National: Béké Bembèrèkè 0–0 Loto Popo

Béké Bembèrèkè and Loto Popo drew 0-0 in Championnat National on October 5, 2024.

The match was played at Stade Municipal de Bembèrèkè in Bembèrèkè.