Beerschot VA 0–0 Seraing United: Result & Stats

Beerschot VA

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Seraing United

1/27/2026

League #145 · Round 22Olympisch Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Beerschot VA49%

×Draw30%

Seraing United21%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Beerschot VAExpected goals in this matchSeraing United

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.22

0.69

Beerschot VA

1.22

Seraing United

0.69

Beerschot VA creates 77% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 10 away

1.33

creates per match

0.70

0.67

allows per match

1.10

creates per match

Beerschot VA

1.33

Seraing United

0.70

allows per match

Beerschot VA

0.67

Seraing United

1.10

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Beerschot VA+0.00on par

Seraing United+0.00on par

Total goals

Under70
Over30

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No65
Yes35

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Beerschot VA ↓

Seraing United →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–015%

0–110%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–018%

1–112%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–18%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–04%

3–13%

3–21%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

85%15%1.5

57%43%2.5

30%70%3.5

13%87%4.5

4%96%

Double chance

Beerschot VA or draw

79%

Beerschot VA or Seraing United

70%

Draw or Seraing United

51%

Winning margin

Beerschot VA wins by 2+

22%

Seraing United wins by 2+

6%

Team goals

Beerschot VA 1+ goals

70%

Beerschot VA 2+ goals

34%

Beerschot VA 3+ goals

12%

Seraing United 1+ goals

50%

Seraing United 2+ goals

15%

Seraing United 3+ goals

3%

Draw no bet

Beerschot VA (draw refunded)

70%

Seraing United (draw refunded)

30%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

23%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Beerschot VA at home — creates 1.33, concedes 0.67 · 15 matches

Seraing United away — creates 0.70, concedes 1.10 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Beerschot VA attack 1.33 + Seraing United defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.22

Seraing United attack 0.70 + Beerschot VA defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.69

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Beerschot VA scores more

49%

level

30%

Seraing United scores more

21%

Beerschot VA at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Beerschot VA will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

N. Gillekens

Seraing United · G

9.6

Match Events

4'

Oussmane Kebe

45'

Matteo Scarpinati

46'

B. Boukteb← T. Lockman

46'

H. Ondo-Eyi← H. Akpa-Chukwu

57'

E. Brahic← A. Van Himbeeck

62'

D. Diarra← M. Scarpinati

69'

M. Muland← D. Duarte

70'

T. Paulo da Silva← O. Kebe

71'

D. Gyamfi← C. Dagba

71'

S. Guendouz← D. Wright-Phillips

74'

Thiago Paulo da Silva

84'

87'

87'

89'

90+3'

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

BeerschotSeraing

Overview

65%Possession35%

26Total Shots10

3.56Expected Goals (xG)0.58

5Corners1

5Fouls21

Shots

26Total Shots10

8On Target3

11Off Target4

7Blocked3

13Inside Box5

13Outside Box5

Passing

65%Possession35%

530Total Passes288

432Accurate Passes189

82%Pass Accuracy66%

Goalkeeping

3Saves8

Discipline

5Fouls21

1Yellow Cards6

6Offsides3