Scoreo

Bechem United vs NsoatremanPremier League 2019

4/6/2025Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 26Nana Professor Koromansa II Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Bechem United62%
×Draw26%
Nsoatreman12%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bechem United
1.50
Nsoatreman
0.49

Bechem United creates 206% more chances

Season form · 109 home / 45 away

creates per match

Bechem United
1.36
Nsoatreman
0.58

allows per match

Bechem United
0.41
Nsoatreman
1.64

finishing

Bechem United+0.00on par
Nsoatreman+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Under
  • Under68
  • Over32

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

70%No
  • No70
  • Yes30

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bechem United

Nsoatreman
0
1
2
3
4
0
0014%
017%
022%
030%
040%
1
1021%
1110%
122%
130%
140%
2
2015%
218%
222%
230%
240%
3
308%
314%
321%
330%
340%
4
403%
411%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (21%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
59%41%2.5
32%68%3.5
14%86%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Bechem United or draw
88%
Bechem United or Nsoatreman
74%
Draw or Nsoatreman
38%

Winning margin

Bechem United wins by 2+
33%
Nsoatreman wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Bechem United 1+ goals
78%
Bechem United 2+ goals
44%
Bechem United 3+ goals
19%
Nsoatreman 1+ goals
39%
Nsoatreman 2+ goals
9%
Nsoatreman 3+ goals
1%

Draw no bet

Bechem United (draw refunded)
84%
Nsoatreman (draw refunded)
16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
20%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bechem United at homecreates 1.36, concedes 0.41 · 109 matches

Nsoatreman awaycreates 0.58, concedes 1.64 · 45 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bechem United attack 1.36 + Nsoatreman defence 1.64 → ÷2 → 1.50

Nsoatreman attack 0.58 + Bechem United defence 0.41 → ÷2 → 0.49

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Bechem United scores more
62%
level
26%
Nsoatreman scores more
12%

Bechem United at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Bechem United will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Bechem United face Nsoatreman (Premier League)

Premier League returns with Bechem United hosting Nsoatreman. Match starts April 6, 2025. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Bechem United host Nsoatreman at Nana Professor Koromansa II Park.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.