Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Be Forward Wanderers vs Masters Security — Super League 2026

Be Forward Wanderers
Be Forward Wanderers
FT
6 – 1
Masters Security
Masters Security
7/8/2019Super LeagueSuper League · Round 1Kamuzu Stadium (Blantyre)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Be Forward Wanderers79%
×Draw14%
Masters Security6%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Be Forward Wanderers
2.48
Masters Security
0.56

Be Forward Wanderers creates 343% more chances

Season form · 82 home / 4 away

creates per match

Be Forward Wanderers
1.95
Masters Security
0.50

allows per match

Be Forward Wanderers
0.63
Masters Security
3.00

finishing

Be Forward Wanderers+0.00on par
Masters Security+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Be Forward Wanderers ↓

Masters Security →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–17%
1–22%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–015%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–012%
3–17%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–08%
4–14%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (15%) · grid covers 91% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Be Forward Wanderers or draw
94%
Be Forward Wanderers or Masters Security
86%
Draw or Masters Security
21%

Winning margin

Be Forward Wanderers wins by 2+
57%
Masters Security wins by 2+
1%

Team goals

Be Forward Wanderers 1+ goals
92%
Be Forward Wanderers 2+ goals
70%
Be Forward Wanderers 3+ goals
44%
Masters Security 1+ goals
43%
Masters Security 2+ goals
11%
Masters Security 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Be Forward Wanderers (draw refunded)
92%
Masters Security (draw refunded)
8%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Be Forward Wanderers at home — creates 1.95, concedes 0.63 · 82 matches

Masters Security away — creates 0.50, concedes 3.00 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Be Forward Wanderers attack 1.95 + Masters Security defence 3.00 → ÷2 → 2.48

Masters Security attack 0.50 + Be Forward Wanderers defence 0.63 → ÷2 → 0.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 79%?"

Be Forward Wanderers scores more
79%
level
14%
Masters Security scores more
6%

Be Forward Wanderers at 79% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 79% does not mean "Be Forward Wanderers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Be Forward Wanderers vs Masters Security

Be Forward Wanderers beat Masters Security 6-1 in Super League on July 8, 2019.

The match was played at Kamuzu Stadium (Blantyre).