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Be Forward Wanderers vs Ekwendeni Hammers — Super League 2026

Be Forward Wanderers
Be Forward Wanderers
FT
2 – 0
Ekwendeni Hammers
Ekwendeni Hammers
P. Wadabwa 88'
Y. Sheriff 19'
9/30/2021Super LeagueSuper League · Round 24Kamuzu Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 70+ matches

Be Forward Wanderers63%
×Draw23%
Ekwendeni Hammers15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Be Forward Wanderers
1.79
Ekwendeni Hammers
0.73

Be Forward Wanderers creates 145% more chances

Season form · 76 home / 70 away

creates per match

Be Forward Wanderers
2.00
Ekwendeni Hammers
0.84

allows per match

Be Forward Wanderers
0.63
Ekwendeni Hammers
1.57

finishing

Be Forward Wanderers+0.00on par
Ekwendeni Hammers+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

57%No
  • No57
  • Yes43

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Be Forward Wanderers ↓

Ekwendeni Hammers →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–16%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–16%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (14%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
24%76%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Be Forward Wanderers or draw
85%
Be Forward Wanderers or Ekwendeni Hammers
77%
Draw or Ekwendeni Hammers
37%

Winning margin

Be Forward Wanderers wins by 2+
36%
Ekwendeni Hammers wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Be Forward Wanderers 1+ goals
83%
Be Forward Wanderers 2+ goals
53%
Be Forward Wanderers 3+ goals
26%
Ekwendeni Hammers 1+ goals
52%
Ekwendeni Hammers 2+ goals
17%
Ekwendeni Hammers 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Be Forward Wanderers (draw refunded)
81%
Ekwendeni Hammers (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Be Forward Wanderers at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.63 · 76 matches

Ekwendeni Hammers away — creates 0.84, concedes 1.57 · 70 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Be Forward Wanderers attack 2.00 + Ekwendeni Hammers defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.79

Ekwendeni Hammers attack 0.84 + Be Forward Wanderers defence 0.63 → ÷2 → 0.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Be Forward Wanderers scores more
63%
level
23%
Ekwendeni Hammers scores more
15%

Be Forward Wanderers at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Be Forward Wanderers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

19'
Y. Sheriff
88'
P. Wadabwa

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super League: Be Forward Wanderers 2–0 Ekwendeni Hammers

Be Forward Wanderers beat Ekwendeni Hammers 2-0 in Super League on September 30, 2021.

Goals: Y. Sheriff (19'), P. Wadabwa (88').

The match was played at Kamuzu Stadium in Blantyre.