Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Be Forward Wanderers vs Bangwe All Stars — Super League 2026

Be Forward Wanderers
Be Forward Wanderers
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Bangwe All Stars
Bangwe All Stars
11/20/2024Super LeagueSuper League · Round 22Kamuzu Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Be Forward Wanderers62%
×Draw23%
Bangwe All Stars14%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Be Forward Wanderers
1.71
Bangwe All Stars
0.68

Be Forward Wanderers creates 151% more chances

Season form · 82 home / 30 away

creates per match

Be Forward Wanderers
1.95
Bangwe All Stars
0.73

allows per match

Be Forward Wanderers
0.63
Bangwe All Stars
1.47

finishing

Be Forward Wanderers+0.00on par
Bangwe All Stars+0.00on par

Total goals

57%Under
  • Under57
  • Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Be Forward Wanderers ↓

Bangwe All Stars →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–16%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–15%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
69%31%2.5
43%57%3.5
22%78%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Be Forward Wanderers or draw
86%
Be Forward Wanderers or Bangwe All Stars
77%
Draw or Bangwe All Stars
38%

Winning margin

Be Forward Wanderers wins by 2+
35%
Bangwe All Stars wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Be Forward Wanderers 1+ goals
82%
Be Forward Wanderers 2+ goals
51%
Be Forward Wanderers 3+ goals
24%
Bangwe All Stars 1+ goals
49%
Bangwe All Stars 2+ goals
15%
Bangwe All Stars 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Be Forward Wanderers (draw refunded)
81%
Bangwe All Stars (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
30%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Be Forward Wanderers at home — creates 1.95, concedes 0.63 · 82 matches

Bangwe All Stars away — creates 0.73, concedes 1.47 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Be Forward Wanderers attack 1.95 + Bangwe All Stars defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.71

Bangwe All Stars attack 0.73 + Be Forward Wanderers defence 0.63 → ÷2 → 0.68

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Be Forward Wanderers scores more
62%
level
23%
Bangwe All Stars scores more
14%

Be Forward Wanderers at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Be Forward Wanderers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Be Forward Wanderers vs Bangwe All Stars

Be Forward Wanderers beat Bangwe All Stars 1-0 in Super League on November 20, 2024.

The match was played at Kamuzu Stadium in Blantyre.