Scoreo

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 7+ matches

Bayern 53%Draw 21%26% Real
2.21Expected xG1.5

Over / Under 2.5

71%

Over

29%

Under

Both Score

69%

Yes

31%

No

Most Likely Scores

2-1

9%

1-1

8%

2-2

7%

xG Profile (7 home / 7 away matches)

Bayern München

xG 2.67 · xGA 1.11

+0.33 vs xG

Real Madrid

xG 1.89 · xGA 1.76

+0.54 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Bayern München vs Real MadridUEFA Champions League 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League·2026📍Allianz Arena
M. Olise 90'
L. Diaz 89'
H. Kane 38'
K. Mbappe 42'
A. Guler 29', 1'
Date
Apr 15, 2026, 7:00 PM
Tournament
UEFA Champions League · UEFA Champions League · Quarter-finals
Referee
S. Vincic
Venue
Allianz Arena, Munich

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

Bayern München

Over / Under 2.5

88%over 2.5
  • Over 2.54988%
  • Under 2.5713%

Both teams scored

68%BTTS
  • Yes3868%
  • No1832%

Real Madrid

Over / Under 2.5

64%over 2.5
  • Over 2.53964%
  • Under 2.52236%

Both teams scored

57%BTTS
  • Yes3557%
  • No2643%

Possession

69%Bayern

Shots

21Bayern

Pass accuracy

53%Bayern

Statistics

BayernReal
Overview
69%Possession31%
21Total Shots12
2.14Expected Goals (xG)2.25
9Corners2
10Fouls12
Shots
21Total Shots12
9On Target5
5Off Target4
7Blocked3
15Inside Box7
6Outside Box5
Passing
69%Possession31%
640Total Passes294
565Accurate Passes230
88%Pass Accuracy78%
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
-0.92Goals Prevented-0.92
Discipline
10Fouls12
1Yellow Cards6
0Red Cards2
2Offsides1

Bayern München 4 – 3 Real Madrid

Bayern München beat Real Madrid 4-3 in UEFA Champions League on April 15, 2026.

Goals: A. Guler (1', 29'), A. Pavlovic (6'), H. Kane (38'), K. Mbappe (42'), L. Diaz (89'), M. Olise (90').

Bayern München controlled possession (69%) and registered 21 shots to 12.

The match was played at Allianz Arena in Munich.